Evidence map›Paper›PMID 42672085›Full record

ArticleRisk analysis : an official publication of the Society for Risk Analysis2026

Natural and Technological Risk Analysis in European Cross-Border Regions: An Integrated Approach to Hazards and Vulnerability.

D Lopes, E De Diego, A Àgueda, M Almeida, L M Ribeiro, L Torres, M Lopes, A I Miranda

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Risk analysis : an official publication of the Society for Risk Analysis, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
0citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

0 citing papers in PubMed.

No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

D LopesCESAM, Department of Environment and Planning, Universidade de Aveiro, Aveiro, Portugal.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3680-9755
E De DiegoMeteogrid, Madrid, Spain.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3612-3980
A ÀguedaCERTEC - Centre for Technological Risk Studies, Department of Chemical Engineering, Universitat Politècnica de Catalunya - BarcelonaTech, Barcelona, Spain.
M AlmeidaUniv Coimbra, ADAI, Department of Mechanical Engineering, Rua Luís Reis Santos, Pólo II, 3030-788, Coimbra, Portugal.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0379-6062
L M RibeiroUniv Coimbra, ADAI, Department of Mechanical Engineering, Rua Luís Reis Santos, Pólo II, 3030-788, Coimbra, Portugal.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9972-4601
L TorresCERTEC - Centre for Technological Risk Studies, Department of Chemical Engineering, Universitat Politècnica de Catalunya - BarcelonaTech, Barcelona, Spain.
M LopesCESAM, Department of Environment and Planning, Universidade de Aveiro, Aveiro, Portugal.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7624-1279
A I MirandaCESAM, Department of Environment and Planning, Universidade de Aveiro, Aveiro, Portugal.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5807-5820

Funding

Finally, A. Àgueda is a Serra Húnter Fellow.This research was funded in part by the Fundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia, I.P. (FCT, https://ror.org/00snfqn58) under Grant (UID/50022/2025, doi.org/10.54499/UID/50022/2025, and LA/P/0079/2020, doi.org/10.54499/LA/P/0079/2020). For the purpose of Open Access, the author has applied a CC-BY public copyright license (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/) to any Author's Accepted Manuscript (AAM) version arising from this submission.This work was funded by national funds through FCT - Fundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia I.P., under the project CESAM-Centro de Estudos do Ambiente e do Mar, references UID/50017/2025 (doi.org/10.54499/UID/50017/2025) and LA/P/0094/2020 (doi.org/10.54499/LA/P/0094/2020).This work was further supported by the European Union (GA:101140339) through European Civil Protection Mechanism (UCPM-2023-KAPP).
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Natural and technological disasters often have transboundary impacts, affecting multiple countries simultaneously, while the lack of joint preparedness and coordinated response mechanisms can significantly amplify damages and complicate recovery efforts. This study proposes an integrated methodology to assess transboundary hazards and population vulnerability across European cross-border regions. The framework combines georeferenced data on extreme weather events, wildfires, industrial areas, and nuclear power plants with a population-based vulnerability analysis. The results revealed pronounced spatial heterogeneity in transboundary hazards distribution across Europe. Extreme weather events affected most European border regions, with the highest values observed in central Europe and along the Portugal-Spain border. Wildfire hazards were strongly concentrated in southern and Mediterranean regions, particularly in the Iberian Peninsula and the Balkans. Technological hazards displayed a more localized pattern, with nuclear power plant-related hazards mainly concentrated in central European border regions and industrial hazards clustered in highly industrialized areas, notably in Belgium, the Netherlands, Germany, Italy, and Switzerland. The combined hazard analysis showed that the highest transboundary hazard levels occurred in regions where multiple hazards spatially co-occurred, such as the Italy-Switzerland, Belgium-the Netherlands, and Portugal-Spain borders, highlighting the importance of multi-hazard interactions. The assessment found that vulnerability was largely determined by population density and demographic structure, with the highest levels occurring in densely populated areas along the Belgium-Germany border. Overall, the proposed framework provides reproducible and policy-relevant evidence to support cross-border risk governance, coordinated prevention strategies, and emergency preparedness planning in Europe.

Indexed as

extreme weather eventsindicesindustriesnuclear power plantspopulationwildfires

Identifiers

PMID42672085
PMCPMC13528976

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.