ArticleNature communications2026
Impact attribution of anthropogenic forcing on lake surface temperature.
Article in Nature communications, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.
What it found
Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.
The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
1 citing paper in PubMed.
- Impact attribution of anthropogenic forcing on lake surface temperature.Nature communications · 2026Article
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
4 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
Global lakes are important sources of freshwater, supporting biodiversity and providing vital ecosystem services. While widespread lake surface warming has been well-documented, formal attribution of this trend to specific anthropogenic drivers has remained out of reach. Here, we provide the attribution of global lake surface warming to human activities using a dataset that integrates satellite-constrained lake temperature estimates with climate model simulations. From 1950 to 2020, we find that the observed 0.47 °C increase in lake surface temperature is primarily driven by greenhouse gas emissions, which contributed a warming trend of 0.95 °C, partially offset by aerosol-induced cooling of -0.28 °C. A dominant greenhouse-gas fingerprint is consistently detected across 23 of 44 studied regions, with regional variations reflecting the influence of other anthropogenic and natural forcings. Our findings provide the direct evidence of global lake surface warming induced by greenhouse-gas emissions, offering scientific foundations for climate accountability and future adaptation in a warming world.
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Registered trials
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