ArticleRevista do Instituto de Medicina Tropical de Sao Paulo2026
Comparative analysis of routine peripheral blood parameters in influenza and COVID-19 patients: a retrospective study.
Article in Revista do Instituto de Medicina Tropical de Sao Paulo, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.
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Abstract
Influenza and COVID-19 are major causes of respiratory illness, and differentiating between them remains a clinical challenge when molecular testing is unavailable. This retrospective study evaluated whether routine peripheral blood parameters could aid in this differentiation. Data from 848 participants (225 influenza, 358 COVID-19, and 265 healthy controls) were analyzed. Among all tested parameters, only white blood cell (WBC) count and age differed significantly between influenza and COVID-19 patients (median WBC: 8.45 versus 6.67×109/L, p<0.001; median age: 67 versus 71 years, p<0.001). Notably, procalcitonin (PCT) levels did not differ significantly between the two groups (p>0.05). The composite index WBC/Age amplified intergroup differences more effectively than other composite indices, including WBC×PCT, which produced a weaker effect. Receiver operating characteristic analysis revealed poor discrimination for all parameters and models: WBC count (AUC=0.67), age (AUC=0.59), WBC×PCT (AUC=0.60), and a logistic regression model combining WBC and age (AUC=0.67). Age-stratified analysis confirmed that WBC count remained significantly higher in influenza patients in both younger and older subgroups, but discriminatory performance was similarly limited (AUC=0.64 and 0.68, respectively). These findings indicate that, despite statistical differences in WBC count and age, routine blood parameters-whether alone or in combination-lack sufficient discriminatory power to reliably differentiate influenza from COVID-19 in this study. Molecular testing remains essential for accurate diagnosis.
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