Evidence map›Paper›PMID 42658380›Full record

ArticleJournal of gastrointestinal cancer2026

Personalizing Postoperative Surveillance: A Risk-Stratified Predictive Model for Recurrence of Gastrointestinal Neuroendocrine Neoplasms.

Zhangchao Yao, Yue Liu, Jie Fan, Feiran Zhou, Luohai Chen, Jie Chen, Huae Xu, Xiaolin Li

Abstract read
PubMed Publisher
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of gastrointestinal cancer, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
0citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

0 citing papers in PubMed.

No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Zhangchao Yao *Department of Geriatrics Gastroenterology, The First Affiliated Hospital with Nanjing Medical University, 300 Guangzhou Road, Nanjing, 210029, China.
Yue Liu *Department of Geriatrics Gastroenterology, The First Affiliated Hospital with Nanjing Medical University, 300 Guangzhou Road, Nanjing, 210029, China.
Jie FanDepartment of Geriatrics Gastroenterology, The First Affiliated Hospital with Nanjing Medical University, 300 Guangzhou Road, Nanjing, 210029, China.
Feiran ZhouDepartment of Geriatrics Gastroenterology, The First Affiliated Hospital with Nanjing Medical University, 300 Guangzhou Road, Nanjing, 210029, China.
Luohai ChenDepartment of Oncology, Centre for Neuroendocrine Tumors, Fudan University Shanghai Cancer Center, Shanghai Medical College,Fudan University, 270 Dongan Road, Xuhui, Shanghai, 200032, China.
Jie ChenDepartment of Oncology, Centre for Neuroendocrine Tumors, Fudan University Shanghai Cancer Center, Shanghai Medical College,Fudan University, 270 Dongan Road, Xuhui, Shanghai, 200032, China.
Huae XuDepartment of Pharmaceutics, School of Pharmacy, Nanjing Medical University, Nanjing, 211166, China. xuhuae@njmu.edu.cn.
Xiaolin LiDepartment of Geriatrics Gastroenterology, The First Affiliated Hospital with Nanjing Medical University, 300 Guangzhou Road, Nanjing, 210029, China. lxl@njmu.edu.cn.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7510-9735

Funding

National Natural Science Foundation of China 82373105the key research and development program of Jiangsu province BE2023834
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundCurrent Ki-67-based prognostic tools have limitations in stratifying recurrence risk for gastrointestinal neuroendocrine neoplasms (GI-NENs) after primary tumor resection (PTR), necessitating personalized predictive models to optimize surveillance.

methodsData from 316 GI-NEN patients undergoing PTR were analyzed. Variables selected via LASSO regression were incorporated into Cox and Random Survival Forest (RSF) models. A nomogram was constructed based on superior model, and cut-off scores stratified patients into three recurrence risk groups.

resultsThe RSF model showed superior accuracy (C-index: 0.854) with good discrimination and calibration. A nomogram integrating eight key predictors stratified patients into low-risk (n = 241), intermediate-risk (n = 57), and high-risk (n = 18) groups. The Kaplan-Meier curves among them were significantly distinct. High-risk group had a median recurrence-free survival of 11.4 months, with nearly all experiencing recurrence or progression within 26 months. Compared with traditional NET grading, this model reclassified some G2 patients into intermediateand even high-risk groups and down-stratified G3 patients with favorable prognoses into the intermediate-risk group.

conclusionsThis study developed and validated a risk-stratified model that effectively identifies postoperative recurrence risk in GI-NENs, enabling tailored surveillance. High-risk patients require intensive follow-up every 2-3 months and early adjuvant intervention. Low-risk patients can safely extend to annually. Most intermediate-risk patients may recieve follow-up every 6-12 months, though G3 patients near the high-risk threshold may still require surveillance every 3-6 months. This model facilitates personalized follow-up to improve long-term outcomes.

Indexed as

Gastrointestinal NeoplasmsNeoplasm Recurrence, LocalNeuroendocrine TumorsNomogramsAgedFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedPrecision MedicinePrognosisRetrospective StudiesRisk AssessmentGastrointestinal neuroendocrine neoplasmsNomogramPostoperativeRecurrenceSurveillance

Identifiers

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.