Evidence map›Paper›PMID 42655706›Full record

ArticleViruses2026

Simulating the Transmission of Rift Valley Fever Virus via Raw Milk Consumption in Inter-Epidemic Periods.

Esra Buyukcangaz, Amna Tariq, Victor Hugo Peña-García, Donal Bisanzio, Koree French, Brian E Dawes, Angelle Desiree LaBeaud

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Viruses, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

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0citing papers in PubMed
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1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

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3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

0 citing papers in PubMed.

No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Esra BuyukcangazDepartment of Pediatrics, Division of Infectious Diseases, Stanford University, Stanford, CA 94305, USA.ORCID 0000-0003-4337-577X
Amna TariqDepartment of Pediatrics, Division of Infectious Diseases, Stanford University, Stanford, CA 94305, USA.
Victor Hugo Peña-GarcíaDepartment of Pediatrics, Division of Infectious Diseases, Stanford University, Stanford, CA 94305, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-4856-3166
Donal BisanzioDepartment of Veterinary Sciences, University of Turin, largo Paolo Braccini 2, Grugliasco, 10095 Turin, Italy.
Koree FrenchDepartment of Pediatrics, Division of Infectious Diseases, Stanford University, Stanford, CA 94305, USA.
Brian E DawesDepartment of Medicine, Division of Infectious Diseases and Geographic Medicine, Stanford University, Stanford, CA 94305, USA.ORCID 0000-0001-7847-7376
Angelle Desiree LaBeaudDepartment of Pediatrics, Division of Infectious Diseases, Stanford University, Stanford, CA 94305, USA.

Funding

The child health impacts of overlapping vector-borne diseases in KenyaR01AI102918 · NIAID · STANFORD UNIVERSITY · PI Angelle Desiree LaBeaud · 2013 to 2026
$7.7M
NIAID NIH HHS R01 AI102918Stanford University IRB Protocol ID: 57869 (A.Desiree LaBeaud) Title: Community Risk of Rift Valley Fever Infections in Coastal and Western Kenya.United States Department of Agriculture 58-3022-1-006 SPO 232395/Amendment 02 and NIH T32 AI052073/AI/NIAID
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Rift Valley fever virus (RVFV) is a zoonotic, vector-borne disease affecting livestock and humans. The consumption of raw unpasteurized milk has been epidemiologically linked to RVFV exposure in humans and recognized as a potentially important non-vector route for RVFV transmission. This study aims to investigate the potential of RVFV transmission to humans through the consumption of infected raw milk. For this purpose, we conducted agent-based stochastic simulations to assess the potential for RVFV transmission through ingestion of contaminated raw milk. We created synthetic populations of cows, humans, and mosquitoes representing local farm dynamics in Kisumu, Kenya. A total of 1000 farms were simulated with binomial and Poisson distributions utilized to generate cow and human populations, respectively. Given our prior field data, we varied the probability of consuming raw milk from 1% to 80%. We also varied the probability of infectious raw milk causing RVFV infection at 10% and 40%. Results indicate that when the probability of infectious raw milk causing an infection is set at 10%, the cumulative incidence of RVFV infections in humans through raw milk consumption varies between 0.4 and 13% during the inter-epidemic periods. When the probability of infectious raw milk causing an infection is set at 40%, the percentage of cumulative milk infections ranges from 3.7 to 28%. Findings highlight the great potential for RVFV infection and spread through infectious milk consumption and the need for further evaluation of milk as a potential pathway of RVFV transmission to humans. Raw milk consumption in RVFV endemic settings remains an ongoing public health threat.

Indexed as

MilkRift Valley FeverRift Valley fever virusAnimalsCattleComputer SimulationCulicidaeEpidemicsFemaleHumansKenyaZoonosesmilk transmissionone healthRift Valley Fever Virus (RVFV)stochastic simulation

Identifiers

PMID42655706
PMCPMC13517956

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.