Evidence map›Paper›PMID 42644342›Full record

ArticleGlobal change biology2026

Climate Warming Drives the Breakdown of Plant-Pollinator Mutualisms Despite Phenological Synchrony.

Natasha de Manincor, Alessandro Fisogni, Oscar Godoy, Nicole E Rafferty

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Global change biology, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Natasha de ManincorDepartment of Evolution, Ecology and Organismal Biology, University of California, Riverside, Riverside, California, USA.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9696-125X
Alessandro FisogniDepartment of Evolution, Ecology and Organismal Biology, University of California, Riverside, Riverside, California, USA.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6179-2767
Oscar GodoyEstación Biológica de Doñana, Consejo Superior de Investigaciones Científicas (EBD-CSIC), Sevilla, Spain.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4988-6626
Nicole E RaffertySchool of BioSciences, The University of Melbourne, Parkville, Victoria, Australia.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6350-1705

Funding

Hellman Fellows ProgramUSDA National Institute of Food and Agriculture 1026313
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Climate warming threatens biodiversity, driving population declines and endangering species with extinction. The disruption of species interactions and associated loss of ecological function can precede extinction, yet the effects of warming on interactions remain unresolved. Stress-induced changes in traits and phenological mismatch between interacting species are hypothesized to be primary mechanisms by which warming threatens biodiversity. However, we lack experimental evidence of warming-induced interaction disruption, making it difficult to gauge the importance of these trait-based mechanisms of interaction loss. Using experimental plant-pollinator communities, we show that springtime warming weakens the mutualism not by reducing phenological synchrony but by altering multiple physiological and behavioral traits, ultimately depressing both plant and bee fitness. Despite warming-induced phenological shifts in flowering and bee activity, temporal synchrony between partners was maintained. However, warming reduced flower abundance and bee survival, floral rewards, and bee visits to flowers. Our results refocus attention away from phenological disruption, towards physiological and behavioral changes that reduce mutualism strength in a changing climate.

Indexed as

Climate ChangePollinationSymbiosisAnimalsBeesFlowersSeasonsclimate changeecological communitiesfitnessindirect effectsphenologypiecewise structural equation modelingplant–pollinator interactionstemporal synchronytraits

Identifiers

PMID42644342
PMCPMC13508041

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.