Evidence map›Paper›PMID 42642675›Full record

ArticleJournal of neurology2026

Divergent recovery trajectories after mild traumatic brain injury are characterized by distinct acute profiles of neurofilament light, 4R-tau, and white matter diffusivity.

Melissa G Papini, Jacinta Thorne, Aleksandra K Gozt, Andre N C Avila, Caerwen S Ellery, Ruby Gilroy, Geena Gill, Francesca Buhagiar, Elizabeth Thomas, Amanda Armstrong and 16 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of neurology, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
0citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

0 citing papers in PubMed.

No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

26 authors.

Melissa G PapiniCurtin School of Diagnostic and Therapeutic Sciences, Curtin University, Perth, Australia.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-1475-0641
Jacinta ThorneCurtin Medical Research Institute, Faculty of Health Sciences, Curtin University, Perth, Australia.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-5855-192X
Aleksandra K GoztPerron Institute of Neurological and Translational Science, Perth, Australia.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-2581-5068
Andre N C AvilaCurtin School of Diagnostic and Therapeutic Sciences, Curtin University, Perth, Australia.ORCID http://orcid.org/0009-0007-0795-0809
Caerwen S ElleryCurtin School of Diagnostic and Therapeutic Sciences, Curtin University, Perth, Australia.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-3141-7469
Ruby GilroyCurtin School of Diagnostic and Therapeutic Sciences, Curtin University, Perth, Australia.ORCID http://orcid.org/0009-0002-6123-6650
Geena GillCurtin Medical Research Institute, Faculty of Health Sciences, Curtin University, Perth, Australia.
Francesca BuhagiarSchool of Psychological Science, The University of Western Australia, Perth, Australia.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-5353-0633
Elizabeth ThomasSchool of Population Health, Curtin University, Bentley, WA, Australia.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-2054-872X
Amanda ArmstrongCurtin School of Diagnostic and Therapeutic Sciences, Curtin University, Perth, Australia.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-5105-0732
Steve PedriniSchool of Medicine, The University of Western Australia, Nedlands, WA, Australia.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-6409-8022
Kevin TaddeiSchool of Medicine, The University of Western Australia, Nedlands, WA, Australia.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-8106-7957
Ralph N MartinsSchool of Medicine, The University of Western Australia, Nedlands, WA, Australia.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-4828-9363
Alexander RingSchool of Allied Health, Faculty of Health Sciences, Curtin University, Bentley, WA, Australia.ORCID http://orcid.org/0009-0006-7209-8328
Glenn ArendtsEmergency Department, Fiona Stanley Hospital, Perth, Australia.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-7830-7756
Antonio CelenzaDivision of Emergency Medicine, School of Medicine, The University of Western Australia, Perth, Australia.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-9792-9526
John Charles IliffCurtin Medical School, Faculty of Health Sciences, Curtin University, Bentley, WA, Australia.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-3510-5756
Dan XuCurtin Medical School, Faculty of Health Sciences, Curtin University, Bentley, WA, Australia.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-6649-1111
Stephen HoneybulDepartment of Neurosurgery, Sir Charles Gairdner Hospital, Perth, WA, Australia.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-6841-8356
Gill CowenCurtin Medical Research Institute, Faculty of Health Sciences, Curtin University, Perth, Australia.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-7092-4589
Ben SmedleyEmergency Department, Fiona Stanley Hospital, Perth, Australia.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-5225-8818
Daniel FatovichDivision of Emergency Medicine, School of Medicine, The University of Western Australia, Perth, Australia.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-9414-6905
Michael ByneveltNeurological Intervention and Imaging Service of Western Australia, Sir Charles Gairdner Hospital, Perth, Australia.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-5073-0154
Carmela PestellSchool of Psychological Science, The University of Western Australia, Perth, Australia.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-1737-7774
Melinda FitzgeraldCurtin Medical Research Institute, Faculty of Health Sciences, Curtin University, Perth, Australia.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-4823-8179
Sarah C HellewellCurtin Medical Research Institute, Faculty of Health Sciences, Curtin University, Perth, Australia. sarah.hellewell@curtin.edu.au.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-2179-2209

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectivesBlood-based and diffusion MRI (dMRI) biomarkers of white matter injury after acute mild traumatic brain injury (mTBI) were examined to: (1) distinguish mTBI from healthy controls (HC); (2) quantify inter-modality relationships; (3) identify associations between acute biomarker changes and recovery; (4) evaluate moderating influences of resilience and coping style.

methods36 adults with mTBI (37.6±13.7 years; 37.1% female) and 35 HC participants (34.2 ± 11.9; 47.1% female) underwent baseline testing (≤ 9 days post-mTBI) including: blood-sampling (neurofilament light-chain [NfL], brain-derived tau, glial fibrillary acidic protein, ubiquitin carboxyl terminal hydroxylase-L1, four-repeat tau [4R-tau]), dMRI analysis of 48 white matter tracts, symptom (Post-Concussion Symptom Scale [PCSS]) and psychological questionnaires (Brief Resilience Scale, Utrecht Coping List). Recovery was determined at 3-, 6- and 12-month follow-ups using PCSS scores. Associations were evaluated using correlations, logistic regression, and exploratory moderation analyses. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: ACTRN12619001226190.

results37.1% of participants reported persistent symptoms at 3 months, 42.9% and 28.6% at 6 and 12 months, respectively. NfL and 4R-tau were acutely elevated post-mTBI, alongside widespread increases in radial, mean, and axial diffusivity. Divergent recovery trajectories were defined by distinct baseline biomarker profiles: elevated NfL and mean diffusivity characterized recovered participants, while elevated 4R-tau and radial diffusivity characterized those who remained symptomatic. NfL was associated with recovery at 3 months and 4R-tau with symptomatic status at 12 months. Coping style, not resilience, moderated blood biomarker-outcome relationships.

conclusionDivergent acute profiles of blood biomarkers, white matter diffusivity, and coping style distinguish mTBI recovery trajectories, providing hypothesis-generating support for biologically informed molecular, microstructural, and psychological mTBI phenotypes. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: ACTRN12619001226190 approved March 2023.

Indexed as

Brain ConcussionNeurofilament ProteinsRecovery of Functiontau ProteinsWhite MatterAdultBiomarkersDiffusion Magnetic Resonance ImagingFemaleFollow-Up StudiesHumansMaleMiddle AgedResilience, PsychologicalYoung AdultBiomarkersneurofilament protein LNeurofilament Proteinstau ProteinsBlood biomarkersCoping skillsDiffusion magnetic resonance imagingMild traumatic brain injuryPost-concussion symptomsPsychological resilience

Identifiers

PMID42642675
PMCPMC13506629

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.