Evidence map›Paper›PMID 42642448›Full record

ArticleScientific reports2026

Widespread coral bleaching across subtropical and temperate Japan under record marine heat stress.

Haruko Kurihara, Hiroya Yamano, Kohsaku Yokoyama, Sayaka Yasunaka, Nina Yasuda, Chuki Hongo, Masako Nakamura, Teruki Nagamine

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Scientific reports, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
0citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

0 citing papers in PubMed.

No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Haruko KuriharaFaculty of Science, University of the Ryukyus, 1 Senbaru, Nishihara, Okinawa, 903-0213, Japan. harukoku@cs.u-ryukyu.ac.jp.
Hiroya YamanoDepartment of Earth and Planetary Science, The University of Tokyo, 7-3-1 Hongo, Bunkyo-ku, Tokyo, 113-0033, Japan.
Kohsaku YokoyamaThe Oceanic Wildlife Society, 1-6-6-301 Ebisu, Shibuya-ku, Tokyo, 150-0013, Japan.
Sayaka YasunakaGraduate School of Science, Tohoku University, 6-3 Aramaki Aza-Aoba, Aoba-ku, Sendai, 980-8578, Japan.
Nina YasudaGraduate School of Agricultural and Life Sciences, The University of Tokyo, 1-1-1 Yayoi, Bunkyo-ku, Tokyo, 113-8657, Japan.
Chuki HongoWakayama Prefectural Nanki Kumano Geopark Center, 2838-3 Shionomisaki, Kushimoto, Wakayama, 649-3502, Japan.
Masako NakamuraSchool of Marine Science and Technology, Tokai University, 3-20-1 Orido, Shimizu, Shizuoka, 424-8610, Japan.
Teruki NagamineGraduate School of Oceanography, Tokai University, 3-20-1 Orido, Shimizu, Shizuoka, 424-8610, Japan.

Funding

Japan Science and Technology Corporation JPMJCR23J2Japan Society for the Promotion of Science JP23K03488
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Marine heatwaves in 2024 drove record-breaking sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the Japanese coast, generating the highest Degree Heating Weeks (DHW), which quantifies the accumulation of thermal stress, observed in the past four decades. Here, we quantify thermal stress and coral bleaching responses across a latitudinal gradient spanning subtropical reef systems and non-reef temperate regions (24°-35°N). DHW exceeded 8 °C-weeks at all sites and reached extreme levels of 17-19 °C-weeks at high latitudes. This unprecedented heat stress triggered widespread mass coral bleaching across both subtropical and temperate regions, with bleaching prevalence reaching 55-95% at most temperate sites. Severe bleaching was recorded not only at well-established subtropical reef but also at marginal temperate communities, including the first documented event at Tsushima and consecutive bleaching events at previously unaffected sites. Notably, poleward-expanding Acropora species exhibited near-complete bleaching, demonstrating that recently established high-latitude populations remain highly vulnerable to extreme thermal stress. Bleaching susceptibility in corals was also found to be species- and site-specific. Strikingly, no bleaching was observed at Tateyama despite high DHW, underscoring the importance of local thermal thresholds and environmental context, and highlighting limitations of DHW as a predictor in temperate regions. Our results demonstrate that extreme ocean warming can drive severe and widespread coral bleaching beyond tropical reef boundaries, affecting both endemic and poleward-expanding coral assemblages. These findings challenge the paradigm that temperate regions function as climate refugia and suggest that the pace of ongoing climate change may outstrip the capacity of corals to adapt or shift their distributions.

Indexed as

AnthozoaCoral BleachingHeat-Shock ResponseAnimalsCoral ReefsHot TemperatureJapanTropical ClimateAcroporaClimate refugiaDHWHigh-latitude reefsPoleward-shiftingThermal stress

Identifiers

PMID42642448
PMCPMC13507285

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.