Evidence map›Paper›PMID 42638098›Full record

ArticleBMC infectious diseases2026

Development and multi-center validation of a machine learning‑based prediction model for mortality in tumor-related sepsis.

Lingyu Jiang, Luming Zhang, Weisheng Chen, Yonglong Zhong, Junlin Zhang, Miao Hu, Lu Huang, Lin Han, Shulin Xiang, Bin Xiong and 1 more

Abstract readMulticenter StudyValidation Study
In one paragraph

Article in BMC infectious diseases, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

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3 · Its place in the literature

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4 · The record

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5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors.

Lingyu Jiang *Department of Intensive Care Unit, The First Affiliated Hospital of Jinan University, Guangzhou, Guangdong Province, 510630, China.
Luming Zhang *Department of Intensive Care Unit, The First Affiliated Hospital of Jinan University, Guangzhou, Guangdong Province, 510630, China.
Weisheng ChenDepartment of Intensive Care Unit, The First Affiliated Hospital of Jinan University, Guangzhou, Guangdong Province, 510630, China.
Yonglong ZhongDepartment of Thoracic Surgery, The People's Hospital of Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region, Guangxi Academy of Medical Sciences, Nangning, Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region, 530021, China.
Junlin ZhangDepartment of Intensive Care Unit, People's Hospital of Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region, Guangxi Academy of Medical Sciences, Nangning, Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region, 530021, China.
Miao HuDepartment of Intensive Care Unit, People's Hospital of Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region, Guangxi Academy of Medical Sciences, Nangning, Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region, 530021, China.
Lu HuangDepartment of Intensive Care Unit, People's Hospital of Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region, Guangxi Academy of Medical Sciences, Nangning, Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region, 530021, China.
Lin HanDepartment of Intensive Care Unit, People's Hospital of Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region, Guangxi Academy of Medical Sciences, Nangning, Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region, 530021, China.
Shulin XiangDepartment of Intensive Care Unit, People's Hospital of Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region, Guangxi Academy of Medical Sciences, Nangning, Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region, 530021, China.
Bin XiongDepartment of Intensive Care Unit, People's Hospital of Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region, Guangxi Academy of Medical Sciences, Nangning, Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region, 530021, China. icuxiong@sina.com.
Haiyan YinDepartment of Intensive Care Unit, The First Affiliated Hospital of Jinan University, Guangzhou, Guangdong Province, 510630, China. yinhaiyan1867@126.com.

Funding

the National Natural Science Foundation of China 82072232the Science and Technology Program of Guangzhou 2022 01020028the Youth Science Foundation Project of Guangxi 2023GXNSFBA 026096This study received financial support from the Guangxi Science and Technology Base and Talent Special Project Guike AD2203 5101
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundTumor-Related Sepsis requires a novel, straightforward model for early and precise prognosis prediction due to inadequate current assessments.

methodsThis retrospective study utilized data from the MIMIC-IV 3.0 database for model development and internal validation. External validation was performed using datasets from different centers to enhance the model's generalizability. Three machine learning techniques were employed for variable selection. After comparing multiple models, the best-performing one was selected and used to develop a clinically applicable nomogram.

resultsThis study included 3777 cases for the development of the model. Four distinct prediction models were developed by integrating various machine learning techniques and clinical characterization methods. These models incorporated 8, 14, 8, and 9 variables, respectively. During internal validation, Model 4 demonstrated acceptable discriminative performance, with AUC values of 0.771 (95% CI: 0.750-0.791) for the training set and 0.769 (95% CI: 0.738-0.799) for the test set. Compared to other models, Model 4 exhibited comparable calibration accuracy and higher clinical utility. It also yielded higher AUC values than the APACHE II, SOFA, and LODS scoring systems. In external validation, Model 4 maintained consistent performance, achieving AUC values of 0.703 (95% CI: 0.676-0.730) for the EICU-CARD database and 0.714 (95% CI: 0.633-0.796) for the Guangxi tertiary hospital dataset. A nomogram was developed to facilitate clinical interpretation and decision-making.

conclusionsDespite the retrospective design, this study developed a concise nomogram prediction model using multiple machine learning approaches and multi-database validation. The model demonstrated moderate discriminative ability in both internal and external validation, suggesting potential clinical utility that requires further prospective evaluation. CLINICAL

trial registrationThis study was registered with the Chinese Clinical Trial Registry on April 22, 2025 (registration number ChiCTRPID270259).

Indexed as

Machine LearningNeoplasmsSepsisAgedFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedNomogramsPredictive Learning ModelsPrognosisRetrospective StudiesClinical prediction modelMachine learningsSepsis cancer

Identifiers

PMID42638098
PMCPMC13505126

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.