Evidence map›Paper›PMID 42629150›Full record

ArticleBMJ open2026

Cardiopulmonary instability score and in-hospital mortality in critically ill patients with cardiovascular disease: a retrospective eICU cohort study.

Gen Li, Zhanyue Shi, Tengfei Gu, Guanghui Li, Ziniu Zhao, Lili Shi

Abstract readMulticenter Study
In one paragraph

Article in BMJ open, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

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1 · What the graph read from it

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4 · The record

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5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Gen LiDepartment of Adult Cardiac Surgery, Central China Fuwai Hospital of Zhengzhou University, Zhengzhou, Henan, China.
Zhanyue ShiDepartment of Cardiovascular Surgery, Sun Yat-Sen Memorial Hospital, Guangzhou, Guangdong, China.
Tengfei GuDepartment of Adult Cardiac Surgery, Central China Fuwai Hospital of Zhengzhou University, Zhengzhou, Henan, China.
Guanghui LiDepartment of Adult Cardiac Surgery, Central China Fuwai Hospital of Zhengzhou University, Zhengzhou, Henan, China.
Ziniu ZhaoDepartment of Adult Cardiac Surgery, Central China Fuwai Hospital of Zhengzhou University, Zhengzhou, Henan, China 862560036@qq.com 13526685598@163.com.
Lili ShiDepartment of Geriatrics, Tongji Hospital of Tongji Medical College of Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, Hubei, China 862560036@qq.com 13526685598@163.com.ORCID 0009-0007-4773-1096

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectivesTo explore the association between a four-item cardiopulmonary instability (CPI) score assessed during the first 24 hours of intensive care unit (ICU) admission and in-hospital mortality among critically ill adults with cardiovascular disease.

designRetrospective multicentre cohort study.

settingThe eICU Collaborative Research Database, comprising ICU admissions from hospitals in the USA during 2014-2015.

participantsEligible ICU stays among adults aged ≥18 years with cardiovascular disease and known hospital outcome status. The ICU stay was the unit of analysis. EXPOSURE: The first 24-hour CPI score assigned one point each for hypotension, hypoxaemia, tachycardia and mechanical ventilation, yielding a total score ranging from 0 to 4. PRIMARY AND SECONDARY OUTCOME MEASURES: The primary outcome was in-hospital mortality. Secondary outcomes were ICU mortality and prolonged ICU and hospital stays.

resultsThe cohort included 61 273 eligible ICU stays contributed by 49 991 patients across 206 hospitals; 8238 stays (13.4%) resulted in in-hospital death. All four CPI components were available for 55 601 stays (90.7%). Mortality increased from 1.4% with CPI 0 to 4.6%, 11.6% and 28.0% with CPI 1, 2 and 3-4, respectively. In the adjusted analysis, CPI≥2 was associated with in-hospital mortality (OR 4.45, 95% CI 4.06 to 4.89; relative risk 3.64, 95% CI 3.35 to 3.97). CPI alone had moderate apparent discrimination (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve 0.732, 95% CI 0.726 to 0.738). At the CPI≥2 threshold, sensitivity was 90.4%, specificity 39.4%, positive predictive value 18.8% and negative predictive value 96.3%. Findings were consistent in analyses excluding mechanical ventilation, restricting stays to >24 hours and accounting for repeated stays. CPI ≥2 was also associated with secondary outcomes.

conclusionsIn this retrospective multicentre eICU cohort, higher first-day CPI scores were associated with progressively greater in-hospital mortality, while CPI≥2 was associated with ICU mortality and prolonged ICU and hospital stays. CPI provides a simple descriptive summary of first-day CPI, but its moderate apparent discrimination and low positive predictive value do not support stand-alone use for individual prognostication or treatment decisions.

Indexed as

Cardiovascular DiseasesCritical IllnessHospital MortalityAgedFemaleHumansHypotensionHypoxiaIntensive Care UnitsLength of StayMaleMiddle AgedRespiration, ArtificialRetrospective StudiesROC CurveTachycardiaIntensive Care UnitsMortalityRisk management

Identifiers

PMID42629150
PMCPMC13504860

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.