Evidence map›Paper›PMID 42626293›Full record

ArticleProstate cancer2026

Long-Term Observed Risk of Clinically Significant Prostate Cancer After Negative mpMRI and Systematic Biopsy in Biopsy-Naïve Men: A MULTIPROS Subanalysis.

Wafa D Aloufi, Xinyu Zhang, Magdalena Szewczyk-Bieda, Ghulam Nabi, Cheng Wei, Luigi Manfredi

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Prostate cancer, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Wafa D AloufiUniversity of Dundee School of Medicine, Dundee, UK.ORCID https://orcid.org/0009-0004-6829-3310
Xinyu ZhangDivision of Population Health and Genomics, University of Dundee, Dundee, UK, dundee.ac.uk.
Magdalena Szewczyk-BiedaNinewells Hospital and Medical School, Dundee, UK, dundee.ac.uk.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4940-9646
Ghulam NabiUniversity of Dundee School of Medicine, Dundee, UK.
Cheng WeiUniversity of Dundee School of Medicine, Dundee, UK.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5714-4863
Luigi ManfrediUniversity of Dundee School of Medicine, Dundee, UK.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8130-9701

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background: mpMRI is now widely used before prostate biopsy and has improved the detection of clinically significant prostate cancer (csPCa). However, the subsequent risk of csPCa among men with both negative mpMRI and negative systematic biopsy (SBx) remains uncertain. Purpose: To evaluate the observed medium-term risk of csPCa in biopsy-naïve men with initially negative mpMRI and negative SBx. Methods: This post hoc longitudinal follow-up subanalysis included biopsy-naïve men from the prospective multicenter MULTIPROS trial who had negative baseline mpMRI (PI-RADS ≤ 2) and negative SBx. Of the 582 enrolled men, 169 had negative mpMRI; 138 underwent baseline SBx, of whom 8 had csPCa, and 31 had < 12 months of follow-up, leaving 99 men for analysis. Follow-up was PSA-based, with repeat mpMRI and biopsy performed when clinically indicated. Kaplan-Meier analysis estimated csPCa-free survival. Results: During a mean follow-up of 61.8 ± 22.1 months, four patients were diagnosed with csPCa (4/99; 4.0%). The mean time from initial negative mpMRI to csPCa diagnosis was 68.3 ± 22.4 months. Repeat biopsy was performed in 16 patients. csPCa-free survival was 100% at 24 months and 97.3% at 60 months (95% CI: 93.7%-100%). Conclusion: In this selected cohort of biopsy-naïve men with both negative mpMRI and negative SBx, the observed incidence of csPCa during medium-term follow-up was low but based on only four events. Because repeat imaging and biopsy were selectively triggered rather than systematically performed, the true incidence of csPCa may be underestimated. Continued PSA-based monitoring, with repeat mpMRI and biopsy when clinically indicated, remains important.

Indexed as

active surveillancebiopsydetection of cancermagnetic resonance imagingprostate-specific antigenprostatic neoplasmsTRUS

Identifiers

PMID42626293
PMCPMC13492054

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.