Evidence map›Paper›PMID 42624863›Full record

SynthesisNature communications2026

A systematic review and meta-analysis on heat thresholds for maternal health and birth outcomes.

Clara S Heil, Leonidas G Ioannou, Günter Alce, Susanne Frennert, Chuansi Gao

Abstract readSystematic ReviewMeta-Analysis
In one paragraph

Synthesis in Nature communications, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Clara S HeilDivision of Ergonomics and Aerosol Technology, Department of Design Sciences, Faculty of Engineering, Lund University, Lund, Sweden. clara.heil@design.lth.se.ORCID http://orcid.org/0009-0008-5466-8010
Leonidas G IoannouSchool of Medicine, University of Cyprus, Nicosia, Cyprus.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-5460-8167
Günter AlceDivision of Ergonomics and Aerosol Technology, Department of Design Sciences, Faculty of Engineering, Lund University, Lund, Sweden.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-9112-2414
Susanne FrennertDivision of Ergonomics and Aerosol Technology, Department of Design Sciences, Faculty of Engineering, Lund University, Lund, Sweden.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-9522-5469
Chuansi GaoDivision of Ergonomics and Aerosol Technology, Department of Design Sciences, Faculty of Engineering, Lund University, Lund, Sweden.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-7386-692X

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Global warming poses major public health challenges, with pregnant individuals particularly vulnerable to heat. We aim to synthesise evidence on the effects of ambient heat on pregnancy and birth outcomes and identify heat thresholds associated with increased risk of these adverse outcomes. We searched Medline, Web of Science, Scopus, GreenFile and Cinahl (June 2024) for peer-reviewed studies reporting thresholds for ambient heat; heat from medical devices, saunas, pools or studies on conception, IVF, postnatal health were excluded. Participants within studies are limited to individuals capable of becoming pregnant, including women and those identifying differently. Risk of bias is assessed using the Office of Health Assessment and Translation tool. Findings are narratively synthesised according to outcome and exposure metric, and a random effects meta-regression is used to estimate heat thresholds for acute heat effects on adverse outcomes. Evidence is limited by heterogeneity and methodological variability among studies included, and through review process limitations, including no independent dual data extraction and single person performing quality assessment. Meta-analyses determine Tmax thresholds 30.55  °C, 34.11  °C and 39.07  °C for 5%, 10% and 20% risk increase (21 studies, sample=5,589,862), suggesting increasing risk of adverse pregnancy and birth outcomes with increasing heat. The narrative syntheses (103 studies, sample=41,951,950) identifies heterogeneous indicators and a lack of comprehensive heat stress indices. Funding was received through the European Union's Horizon Framework Programme and UKRI Innovate. PROSPERO registration: CRD42024610438.

Indexed as

Hot TemperatureMaternal HealthPregnancy OutcomeFemaleGlobal WarmingHumansPregnancy

Identifiers

PMID42624863
PMCPMC13493939

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.