Evidence map›Paper›PMID 42620848›Full record

ArticleJRSM open2026

A National Health Service in 'Serious Trouble': What do multiple long-term conditions tell us about deterioration in health among people accessing hospital care in the North East of England? - An analysis of electronic health records.

Rachel Cooper, Marzieh Shahmandi, Jonathan G Bunn, Peta Leroux, Chris Plummer, Tom P Marshall, James Ms Wason, Miles D Witham, Avan A Sayer, ADMISSION Research Collaborative

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in JRSM open, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
0citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

0 citing papers in PubMed.

No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors.

Rachel CooperAGE Research Group, Translational and Clinical Research Institute, Faculty of Medical Sciences, Newcastle University, Newcastle upon Tyne, UK.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3370-5720
Marzieh ShahmandiBiostatistics Research Group, Population Health Sciences Institute, Faculty of Medical Sciences, Newcastle University, Newcastle upon Tyne, UK.
Jonathan G BunnAGE Research Group, Translational and Clinical Research Institute, Faculty of Medical Sciences, Newcastle University, Newcastle upon Tyne, UK.
Peta LerouxDigital Services, Newcastle upon Tyne Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, Newcastle upon Tyne, UK.
Chris PlummerNIHR Newcastle Biomedical Research Centre, Newcastle upon Tyne Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, Cumbria, Northumberland, Tyne and Wear NHS Foundation Trust and Newcastle University, Newcastle upon Tyne, UK.
Tom P MarshallDepartment of Applied Health Sciences, College of Medicine and Health, University of Birmingham, Birmingham, UK.
James Ms WasonBiostatistics Research Group, Population Health Sciences Institute, Faculty of Medical Sciences, Newcastle University, Newcastle upon Tyne, UK.
Miles D WithamAGE Research Group, Translational and Clinical Research Institute, Faculty of Medical Sciences, Newcastle University, Newcastle upon Tyne, UK.
Avan A SayerAGE Research Group, Translational and Clinical Research Institute, Faculty of Medical Sciences, Newcastle University, Newcastle upon Tyne, UK.
ADMISSION Research Collaborative

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Objectives: To estimate the prevalence of multiple long-term conditions (MLTC) among people accessing hospital care in North East England, and to assess associations with age, sex, ethnicity and neighbourhood deprivation. Design: Analysis of electronic health records. Setting: Secondary care. Participants: All adults, 18 years and above, with  ≥ 1 admission to Newcastle upon Tyne Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust (NuTH) between July 2018 and June 2019 (N = 88,117, 51% women) or between July 2021 and June 2022 (N = 83,036, 51% women). Main outcome measures: MLTC; ≥2 long-term conditions. Results: Between July 2018 and June 2019, overall prevalence of MLTC was 49.6%, and between July 2021 and June 2022 it was 61.0%. Older age and living in a more deprived neighbourhood were consistently associated with increased risk of MLTC, whereby people living in the most deprived neighbourhoods had a prevalence of MLTC equivalent to people from the least deprived neighbourhoods a decade older. Associations between neighbourhood deprivation and increased MLTC risk were stronger in younger adults; relative risk of MLTC was 1.74 (95% confidence interval: 1.49-2.02) when comparing people aged 30-39 living in the most and least deprived neighbourhoods. Conclusions: Among adults accessing inpatient hospital care in North East England, the prevalence of MLTC is high in all age groups, has increased since the COVID-19 pandemic and has a greater impact on younger adults from more deprived neighbourhoods. This highlights the sheer scale of the challenge that MLTC present in hospitals and the value of harnessing information at a local level as we look to redesign hospital care fit for the future.

Indexed as

hospitalsinequalitiesmultimorbidityMultiple long-term conditionssecondary care

Identifiers

PMID42620848
PMCPMC13487029

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.