Evidence map›Paper›PMID 42618581›Full record

ArticleNature communications2026

Avian influenza amplified age-related mortality in a long-lived seabird.

Wouter Courtens, Mónika Ballmann, Ruben Fijn, Morten Frederiksen, Susanne Kühn, Luc Lens, Mardik Leopold, Sander Lilipaly, Florian Packmor, Eric W M Stienen and 2 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature communications, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Counting cases, conserving species: addressing highly pathogenic avian influenza in wildlife.Biological reviews of the Cambridge Philosophical Society · 2026
    Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

12 authors.

Wouter CourtensResearch Institute for Nature and Forest, Brussels, Belgium.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-5806-0343
Mónika BallmannWageningen Bioveterinary Research, Lelystad, The Netherlands.
Ruben FijnDepartment of Bird Ecology, Waardenburg Ecology, Culemborg, The Netherlands.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-6233-2954
Morten FrederiksenDepartment of Ecoscience, Aarhus University, Roskilde, Denmark.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-5550-0537
Susanne KühnWageningen Marine Research, Den Helder, The Netherlands.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-1052-7634
Luc LensDepartment of Biology, Ghent University, Ghent, Belgium.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-0241-2215
Mardik LeopoldWageningen Marine Research, Den Helder, The Netherlands.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-4540-9841
Sander LilipalyDeltamilieu Projecten, Vlissingen, The Netherlands.
Florian PackmorLower Saxon Wadden Sea National Park Authority, Wilhelmshaven, Germany.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-1512-2444
Eric W M StienenResearch Institute for Nature and Forest, Brussels, Belgium.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-4315-0936
Peter van HorssenGreenstat, Tricht, The Netherlands.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-5449-4697
Ulrich KniefEvolutionary Biology & Ecology, University of Freiburg, Freiburg, Germany. ulrich.knief@biologie.uni-freiburg.de.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-6959-3033

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

In recent years, highly pathogenic avian influenza (HPAI) A (H5N1) clade 2.3.4.4b viruses have caused mass mortality events in seabirds worldwide, raising concern for long-lived species with low reproductive rates. Using 28 years of ringing data together with individual-level data from the 2022 mass mortality event in northwestern European Sandwich terns (Thalasseus sandvicensis), we show that mortality was biased towards older individuals, while no sex bias was observed. HPAI-related mortality increased from approximately 5-10% in young breeders to more than 40% in the oldest individuals. This age-biased loss likely removed the most experienced individuals from the population. Our findings highlight a previously underappreciated mechanism through which HPAI outbreaks may impair the resilience of long-lived avian populations.

Indexed as

CharadriiformesInfluenza A Virus, H5N1 SubtypeInfluenza in BirdsAnimalsDisease OutbreaksFemaleMale

Identifiers

PMID42618581
PMCPMC13490437

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.