Evidence map›Paper›PMID 42618515›Full record

Trial reportHuman reproduction (Oxford, England)2026

A double-blind multi-centre randomised placebo-controlled trial of doxycycline in women with recurrent miscarriage and chronic endometritis defined by CD138 positive stromal cells.

J Odendaal, N Black, K Fishwick, J Thornton, K Makwana, L Ewington, K Larsen, A Hawkes, C Leeson, J Fisher and 7 more

Abstract readRandomized Controlled TrialMulticenter Study
In one paragraph

Trial report in Human reproduction (Oxford, England), 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

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0cells of the map it votes in
0citing papers in PubMed
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1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

0 citing papers in PubMed.

No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

17 authors.

J OdendaalDivision of Biomedical Sciences, Clinical Sciences Research Laboratories, Warwick Medical School, University of Warwick, Coventry, UK.ORCID 0000-0001-7829-3729
N BlackDivision of Biomedical Sciences, Clinical Sciences Research Laboratories, Warwick Medical School, University of Warwick, Coventry, UK.
K FishwickDivision of Biomedical Sciences, Clinical Sciences Research Laboratories, Warwick Medical School, University of Warwick, Coventry, UK.
J ThorntonDivision of Biomedical Sciences, Clinical Sciences Research Laboratories, Warwick Medical School, University of Warwick, Coventry, UK.
K MakwanaDivision of Biomedical Sciences, Clinical Sciences Research Laboratories, Warwick Medical School, University of Warwick, Coventry, UK.
L EwingtonDivision of Biomedical Sciences, Clinical Sciences Research Laboratories, Warwick Medical School, University of Warwick, Coventry, UK.
K LarsenDivision of Biomedical Sciences, Clinical Sciences Research Laboratories, Warwick Medical School, University of Warwick, Coventry, UK.
A HawkesDivision of Biomedical Sciences, Clinical Sciences Research Laboratories, Warwick Medical School, University of Warwick, Coventry, UK.
C LeesonDivision of Biomedical Sciences, Clinical Sciences Research Laboratories, Warwick Medical School, University of Warwick, Coventry, UK.
J FisherWarwick Clinical Trials Unit, Warwick Medical School, University of Warwick, Coventry, UK.
R LallWarwick Clinical Trials Unit, Warwick Medical School, University of Warwick, Coventry, UK.
J GuckWarwick Clinical Trials Unit, Warwick Medical School, University of Warwick, Coventry, UK.
A CoomarasamyTommy's National Centre for Miscarriage Research, Nuffield Department of Women's and Reproductive Health, Medical Sciences Division, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.
I GranneNuffield Department of Women's and Reproductive Health, Medical Sciences Division, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-7056-5723
M UnderwoodUniversity Hospitals Coventry & Warwickshire, Coventry, UK.
G BouliotisWarwick Clinical Trials Unit, Warwick Medical School, University of Warwick, Coventry, UK.
S QuenbyDivision of Biomedical Sciences, Clinical Sciences Research Laboratories, Warwick Medical School, University of Warwick, Coventry, UK.ORCID 0000-0003-3221-5471

Funding

Efficacy and Mechanism EvaluationNational Institute for Health and Care Research
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

study questionDoes preconceptual doxycycline prevent miscarriage in women with recurrent miscarriage (RM) and chronic endometritis (CE) defined by CD138+ stromal cells? SUMMARY ANSWER: Preconceptual doxycycline was not associated with improved livebirth rates in women with CE and a history of RM. WHAT IS KNOWN ALREADY: CE is characterised by asymptomatic endometrial inflammation and has been associated with RM. Some national and international RM guidelines advise testing and treating for CE with antibiotics, most commonly doxycycline, whereas others do not. STUDY DESIGN, SIZE, DURATION: Definitions of CE vary widely; in this study, all CD138+ cells, not only morphological plasma cells were included in the assessment. This was an adaptive, multi-centre, parallel-arm, double-blind, placebo-controlled, randomised trial. Recruitment started on January 2020, and follow-up finished on October 2023. Of 2178 women screened, 505 were positive for CD138 and 438 were randomised. A subgroup (202) had repeat endometrial biopsies in the luteal phase of their treatment cycle analysed. A screen negative group (208) were followed up in their first pregnancies. Screen positive women were randomised using an online web tool to preconceptual doxycycline 100 mg or an identical placebo from day 1 of the menstrual cycle, twice daily for 14 days. Patients, their clinicians and outcome assessors were blinded to treatment allocation. PARTICIPANTS/MATERIALS, SETTING,

methodsWomen, aged ≥18 to <42 years with ≥2 consecutive first trimester miscarriages were recruited in specialist RM clinics from 27 UK sites. Screening was by luteal phase endometrial biopsy with immunohistochemistry for CD138. The primary outcome was cumulative live birth and pregnancies ≥24 + 0 weeks gestation at cessation of the trial. Secondary outcomes included first pregnancy outcome, time to first conception and pregnancy complication rates. A prospective Bayesian analysis with no prior information was undertaken to estimate posterior probabilities. MAIN RESULTS AND THE ROLE OF CHANCE: There were 113/219 (52%) cumulative livebirths or ongoing pregnancies in the doxycycline group and 109/219 (50%) in the placebo group (adjusted Relative Risk (aRR)1.02; Credible Interval (CrI) 0.85-1.21). Sensitivity analysis did not influence these results. In the CE negative group, there were 62/208 (30%) livebirths or ongoing first pregnancies compared to 89/219 (41%) in the placebo group (aRR 0.73; CrI 0.56-0.95). The amount and pattern of CD138 staining varied equally before and after placebo (98 paired biopsies) and doxycycline (104 paired biopsies) treatments. LIMITATIONS, REASONS FOR CAUTION: In keeping with the adaptive Bayesian design, the trial was stopped at interim analyses. Whilst a higher-than-expected prevalence of CD138+ CE occurred in this study, a sensitivity analysis increasing the diagnostic threshold did not alter the findings. The second biopsies occurred within the treatment menstrual cycle; hence, we did not exclude a difference in CD138+ CE after menstruation. A few participants obtained additional doxycycline; however, a sensitivity analysis excluding these showed no difference in outcome. WIDER IMPLICATIONS OF THE

findingsNeither the primary nor secondary outcome measures supported the use of doxycycline in the management of CD138+ CE in this first placebo-controlled trial. Similar differences in CD138 expression before and after placebo or doxycycline suggesting inter-cycle variation may account for previously reported findings.

fundingThis study was funded by the Efficacy and Mechanism Evaluation Programme, a Medical Research Council (MRC) and National Institute for Health and Care Research (NIHR) partnership (Funder reference: 17/60/22). DISCLOSURES: All authors declare no competing interests. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: ISRCTN 2394773 https://doi.org/10.1186/ISRCTN23947730. TRIAL REGISTRATION DATE: 12 September 2019. DATE OF FIRST PATIENT’S ENROLMENT: 3 January 2020.

Indexed as

Abortion, HabitualAnti-Bacterial AgentsDoxycyclineEndometritisStromal CellsSyndecan-1AdultChronic DiseaseDouble-Blind MethodEndometriumFemaleHumansPregnancyAnti-Bacterial AgentsDoxycyclineSDC1 protein, humanSyndecan-1Bayesian analysisCD138chronic endometritisdoxycyclinerecurrent miscarriage

Identifiers

PMID42618515
PMCPMC13635465

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.