Evidence map›Paper›PMID 42616310›Full record

ArticleArchives of osteoporosis2026

Rising burden of fall-related vertebral fractures in Ecuador, 1990-2021: an analysis of the global burden of disease.

Enrique Lopez Gavilanez, Luis Imaicela Naula, Manuel Navarro Chávez, Noemi Bautista Litardo, Mario Hernández Bonilla, Roberto Cedeño German, Abigail Segura Mestanza, Mario Navarro Grijalva, Kempis Guerrero Franco

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Article in Archives of osteoporosis, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

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9 authors.

Enrique Lopez GavilanezAECE Research Group, Association of Clinical Endocrinologists of Ecuador, Cdla Urdesa Norte. Av,1ra y calle 1ra., Guayaquil, 090112, Ecuador. enrique_lopezg57@hotmail.com.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-4525-8382
Luis Imaicela NaulaAECE Research Group, Association of Clinical Endocrinologists of Ecuador, Cdla Urdesa Norte. Av,1ra y calle 1ra., Guayaquil, 090112, Ecuador.
Manuel Navarro ChávezAECE Research Group, Association of Clinical Endocrinologists of Ecuador, Cdla Urdesa Norte. Av,1ra y calle 1ra., Guayaquil, 090112, Ecuador.
Noemi Bautista LitardoAECE Research Group, Association of Clinical Endocrinologists of Ecuador, Cdla Urdesa Norte. Av,1ra y calle 1ra., Guayaquil, 090112, Ecuador.
Mario Hernández BonillaAECE Research Group, Association of Clinical Endocrinologists of Ecuador, Cdla Urdesa Norte. Av,1ra y calle 1ra., Guayaquil, 090112, Ecuador.
Roberto Cedeño GermanAECE Research Group, Association of Clinical Endocrinologists of Ecuador, Cdla Urdesa Norte. Av,1ra y calle 1ra., Guayaquil, 090112, Ecuador.
Abigail Segura MestanzaAECE Research Group, Association of Clinical Endocrinologists of Ecuador, Cdla Urdesa Norte. Av,1ra y calle 1ra., Guayaquil, 090112, Ecuador.
Mario Navarro GrijalvaAECE Research Group, Association of Clinical Endocrinologists of Ecuador, Cdla Urdesa Norte. Av,1ra y calle 1ra., Guayaquil, 090112, Ecuador.
Kempis Guerrero FrancoAECE Research Group, Association of Clinical Endocrinologists of Ecuador, Cdla Urdesa Norte. Av,1ra y calle 1ra., Guayaquil, 090112, Ecuador.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Fall-related vertebral fractures increased substantially in Ecuador from 1990-2021, with rising incidence and disability beyond population aging. Improved detection and secondary prevention are essential.

backgroundVertebral fractures are a major complication of bone fragility and a leading cause of chronic pain and disability in aging populations. Long-term national data are essential for guiding prevention efforts and healthcare system planning.

objectivesTo describe trends in the incidence and prevalence of fall-related vertebral fractures, as well as years lived with disability (YLDs), of fall-related vertebral fractures among adults aged ≥ 50 years in Ecuador between 1990 and 2021 by using estimates from the Global Burden of Disease 2021 study.

methodsAn ecological time-series analysis was conducted using modeled epidemiological estimates from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2021 study. The incidence, prevalence, and YLDs were evaluated as absolute numbers and age-standardized rates (ASRs) per 100,000 population, stratified by sex and age. Temporal trends were assessed using Joinpoint regression to estimate annual percentage change (APC) and average annual percentage change (AAPC).

resultsBetween 1990 and 2021, the age-standardized incidence, prevalence, and YLD rates of fall-related vertebral fractures among adults aged ≥ 50 years increased from 65.8 to 97.4, 28.9 to 43.9, and 3.03 to 4.59 per 100,000, respectively. The absolute number of cases more than quadrupled. Men consistently showed higher ASRs, whereas women demonstrated sustained growth across all indicators. Disability was unevenly distributed among adults aged ≥ 70 years, especially those aged ≥ 80 years. Joinpoint analyses revealed early increases followed by stabilization in men and continuous upward trends in women.

conclusionsThe incidence and disability rates of fall-related vertebral fractures in Ecuador have increased substantially over the past three decades, beyond demographic aging alone. Given the growing burden on older adults, fracture detection, secondary prevention, and integrated strategies for osteoporosis management need to be improved.

Indexed as

Accidental FallsGlobal Burden of DiseaseOsteoporotic FracturesSpinal FracturesAgedAged, 80 and overEcuadorFemaleHumansIncidenceMaleMiddle AgedPrevalenceAging populationBurden of diseaseEcuadorFallsOsteoporosisVertebral fractures

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.