Evidence map›Paper›PMID 42615240›Full record

ArticleStatistics in medicine2026

Long Run Non-Transitivity of Win Ratio and How to Rule It Out.

Olga V Demler, Anna Győrffy-Kerekes

Abstract read
PubMed Full text at PMC Publisher
In one paragraph

Article in Statistics in medicine, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
0citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

0 citing papers in PubMed.

No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

2 authors.

Olga V DemlerComputer Science Department, ETH Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3355-3210
Anna Győrffy-KerekesComputer Science Department, ETH Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland.ORCID https://orcid.org/0009-0004-8477-5141

Funding

CHD Risk and Metabolomic Profiles of Discordant LipidsK01HL135342 · NHLBI · BRIGHAM AND WOMEN'S HOSPITAL · PI DEMLER, OLGA · 2017 to 2021
$857k
Consensus Framework for Cardiovascular Risk Prediction in a Clinical SettingR21HL167173 · NHLBI · BRIGHAM AND WOMEN'S HOSPITAL · PI DEMLER, OLGA · 2023 to 2024
$269k
American Heart Association 17IGMV33860009American Heart Association 26SFRNCVHD1592182American Heart Association 26SFRNPVHD1623048ETH Zurich, SwitzerlandNational Institutes of Health, National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute 5K01HL135342National Institutes of Health, National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute R21HL167173NHLBI NIH HHS K01 HL135342NHLBI NIH HHS R21 HL167173
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The win ratio (WR) has emerged as an increasingly used method for analyzing composite endpoints in randomized controlled trials (RCTs). Its growing popularity stems from its ability to accommodate a hierarchy of event types within a composite primary endpoint in an RCT. However, as a relatively new measure, the WR exhibits some surprising properties. Oakes and other authors have noted that for a given triplet of participants, there are realizations of event times and hierarchy of event types when "wins" form a loop. They term this property "intransitivity." In this paper, we report and study a different phenomenon, a violation of long-run transitivity of WRs, for example, when in the long run

Indexed as

Endpoint DeterminationModels, StatisticalRandomized Controlled Trials as TopicHumans

Identifiers

PMID42615240
PMCPMC13487793

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.