Evidence map›Paper›PMID 42614989›Full record

ArticlePNAS nexus2026

One rule does not fit all: Deviations from universality in human mobility modeling.

Ludovico Napoli, Márton Karsai, Esteban Moro

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PNAS nexus, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

Ludovico NapoliDepartment of Network and Data Science, Central European University, Quellenstraße 51, Vienna 1100, Austria.
Márton KarsaiDepartment of Network and Data Science, Central European University, Quellenstraße 51, Vienna 1100, Austria.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5382-8950
Esteban MoroMedia Lab, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, 75 Amherst St Cambridge, MA 02139, USA.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2894-1024

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Accurately modeling of individual movement in cities has significant implications for policy decisions across various sectors. Existing research emphasizes the universality of human mobility, positing that simple models can accurately capture population-level movements. However, population-level accuracy can mask structured heterogeneity at the individual level and does not guarantee consistent performance across all individuals. By overlooking individual differences, universality laws may accurately describe certain groups while less precisely representing others, resulting in systematic biases at the individual level. Using large-scale mobility data, we assess accuracy at individual level of a universal model, the Exploration and Preferential Return (EPR) model, by examining deviations from expected behavior in two scaling laws-one related to exploration and the other to return patterns. Our findings reveal that, while the model can accurately describe population-wide movement patterns, it displays widespread deviations linked to behavioral traits, socioeconomic and lifestyles of individuals, which are not fully captured by the model's assumptions. In particular, individuals poorly represented by the EPR model exhibit bursty exploration and sequential routine behaviors, associated with stronger temporal irregularity and habitual repetition. Among socioeconomic factors, income emerges as the strongest predictor of deviations from the model, leading to significant spatial disparities in accuracy. Notably, the universal accuracy of the EPR model deteriorates in urbanized and densely populated areas, underscoring essential policy implications. Our results show that reliance on universal mobility models may lead to uneven predictive performance across socioeconomic groups, particularly for vulnerable populations whose mobility patterns diverge most from model assumptions.

Indexed as

datahuman mobilityinequalitiesmodelingsocioeconomic status

Identifiers

PMID42614989
PMCPMC13484880

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.