Evidence map›Paper›PMID 42611421›Full record

ArticlePharmacoEconomics - open2026

Cost-Effectiveness of an Artificial Intelligence as a Medical Device (AIaMD) for Triaging Patients Presenting to Primary Care with Concerns that They Have a Skin Cancer: A Modelling Study.

Javad Javan, Zhivko Zhelev, Bogdan Grigore, Chris Hyde

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Article in PharmacoEconomics - open, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

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0citing papers in PubMed
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1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

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Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

0 citing papers in PubMed.

No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Javad Javan *The Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-7809-1377
Zhivko Zhelev *Exeter Test Group, Department of Health and Community Sciences, Exeter Medical School, Exeter, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-0106-2401
Bogdan GrigoreExeter Test Group, Department of Health and Community Sciences, Exeter Medical School, Exeter, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-4241-7595
Chris HydeExeter Test Group, Department of Health and Community Sciences, Exeter Medical School, Exeter, UK. c.j.hyde@exeter.ac.uk.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-7349-0616

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

introductionHealth services are struggling to cope with the growing numbers of people coming with skin lesions they are worried could be cancer. Using artificial intelligence (AI) to assist in the triage process is one potential approach. Deep Ensemble for the Recognition of Melanoma (DERM) is one such AI device which has achieved Conformité Européene (CE) Class III regulatory approval in the UK and Europe. The effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of DERM have already been carefully examined post-referral. This study examines the cost-effectiveness of DERM pre-referral in the community setting.

methodsWe modified a decision-analytic model developed for post-referral evaluation of DERM to the community setting. The model compared standard care (SC) with two DERM-based strategies: with second reading (2R) when discharge was recommended (DERM_2R) and without it (DERM_autonomous). The outputs were numbers of diagnostic outcomes, numbers of key events (GP appointments, DERM assessments, hospital referrals), costs and quality-adjusted life-years (QALY). The cost-effectiveness metrics were incremental cost per QALY gained. Analysis was conducted in the UK from an NHS and personal social services perspective, with a life-time horizon up to a maximum of 100 years, with uncertainty assessed mainly using deterministic sensitivity analyses.

resultsWe report three base-case results on the basis of different assumptions regarding GP diagnostic sensitivity and specificity. When GPs operate with maximised sensitivity as suggested by the literature, SC is the most cost-effective option. SC dominates DERM_autonomous and DERM_2R has an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) relative to SC of £30,370. If GPs operate with maximised specificity, DERM_autonomous dominates SC and DERM_2R has an ICER of £397. If GPs diagnose cancer with a performance back calculated from NHS routine data, the cost-effectiveness of both DERM options dominate SC.

conclusionsThe priority should be for better estimates of GP accuracy to be obtained to reduce uncertainty in the estimates of cost-effectiveness. The results presented do, however, show that it is plausible that DERM could be cost-effective justifying use in practice with further data collection.

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.