Evidence map›Paper›PMID 42609834›Full record

ArticleOpen forum infectious diseases2026

Ongoing Outbreak of

Diana da Costa Lobato, Ângela Cristina Dos Reis Maia de Souza, Caroline Gava, Camilla de Miranda Ribeiro, Raissa Dos Santos Calado Sampaio de Alencar, Greice Madeleine Ikeda do Carmo, Rosa Márcia Saraiva Gentil, Susan Beatriz Batista de Oliveira, Carlos Henrique Camargo, Claudio Tavares Sacchi and 7 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Open forum infectious diseases, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
0citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

0 citing papers in PubMed.

No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

17 authors.

Diana da Costa LobatoGraduate Program in Parasitic Biology in the Amazon, State University of Pará, and Evandro Chagas Institute (PPGBPA/UEPA/IEC), Belém, Pará, Brazil.
Ângela Cristina Dos Reis Maia de SouzaDepartment of Epidemiology, Health Surveillance Division, State Department of Public Health (DEPI/DVS/SESPA), Belém, Pará, Brazil.
Caroline GavaGeneral Coordination of Vaccine-Preventable Disease Surveillance, Department of the National Immunization Program, Secretariat of Health and Environmental Surveillance, Ministry of Health, Brasília, Federal District, Brazil.
Camilla de Miranda RibeiroGeneral Coordination of Vaccine-Preventable Disease Surveillance, Department of the National Immunization Program, Secretariat of Health and Environmental Surveillance, Ministry of Health, Brasília, Federal District, Brazil.
Raissa Dos Santos Calado Sampaio de AlencarGeneral Coordination of Vaccine-Preventable Disease Surveillance, Department of the National Immunization Program, Secretariat of Health and Environmental Surveillance, Ministry of Health, Brasília, Federal District, Brazil.
Greice Madeleine Ikeda do CarmoGeneral Coordination of Vaccine-Preventable Disease Surveillance, Department of the National Immunization Program, Secretariat of Health and Environmental Surveillance, Ministry of Health, Brasília, Federal District, Brazil.
Rosa Márcia Saraiva GentilCenter of Bacteriology, Central Public Health Laboratory of Pará (LACEN), Pará, Brazil.
Susan Beatriz Batista de OliveiraCenter of Bacteriology, Central Public Health Laboratory of Pará (LACEN), Pará, Brazil.
Carlos Henrique CamargoCenter of Bacteriology, Institute Adolfo Lutz (IAL), São Paulo, Brazil.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6834-0085
Claudio Tavares SacchiStrategic Laboratory, Institute Adolfo Lutz (IAL), São Paulo, Brazil.
Karoline Rodrigues CamposStrategic Laboratory, Institute Adolfo Lutz (IAL), São Paulo, Brazil.
Maria Eduarda de Araújo MoraisDepartment of Epidemiology, Health Surveillance Division, State Department of Public Health (DEPI/DVS/SESPA), Belém, Pará, Brazil.
Gabriela Andrade de CarvalhoGeneral Coordination of Public Health Laboratories, Secretariat of Health and Environmental Surveillance, Ministry of Health (SVSA/CGLAB), Brasília, Federal District, Brazil.
Adrianne da Silva ZifirinoGraduate Program in Mathematics and Statistics, Federal University of Pará (PPGME/UFPA), Belém, Pará, Brazil.
Ana Paula Silva de LemosCenter of Bacteriology, Institute Adolfo Lutz (IAL), São Paulo, Brazil.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7205-576X
Danielle Melo SardinhaGraduate Program in Parasitic Biology in the Amazon, State University of Pará, and Evandro Chagas Institute (PPGBPA/UEPA/IEC), Belém, Pará, Brazil.
Karla Valéria Batista LimaGraduate Program in Parasitic Biology in the Amazon, State University of Pará, and Evandro Chagas Institute (PPGBPA/UEPA/IEC), Belém, Pará, Brazil.

Funding

Wellcome Trust
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background: Invasive meningococcal disease (IMD) remains a major cause of mortality worldwide, yet its dynamics in the Brazilian Amazon are poorly understood. Following the COVID-19 pandemic, serogroup B IMD resurged in Brazil, raising concerns about changing transmission patterns in regions with limited healthcare access. Methods: We conducted an epidemiological and genomic investigation of an ongoing IMD outbreak in Pará State, Brazilian Amazon, between 2023 and 2025. Clinical, demographic, and outcome data were integrated with whole-genome sequencing of 69 isolates. Multivariate logistic regression identified independent predictors of mortality, and phylogenomic analyses characterized transmission dynamics and clonal expansion. Results: A total of 343 IMD cases were identified, of which 321 (93.6%) were caused by serogroup B, resulting 34 deaths (case-fatality rate, 10.6%). Incidence increased up to 5-fold compared with national rates and disproportionately affected young children and adults. Mortality was independently associated with meningococcemia (adjusted odds ratio, 84.52; 95% confidence interval, 5.70-1253.65; Conclusions: A highly clonal serogroup B meningococcal outbreak emerged in the Brazilian Amazon following the COVID-19 pandemic, with substantial mortality and rapid geographic spread. These findings highlight the importance of strengthened genomic surveillance and support targeted vaccination strategies to improve outbreak preparedness in underserved regions.

Indexed as

invasive meningococcal diseaseNeisseria meningitidisoutbreakserogroup B

Identifiers

PMID42609834
PMCPMC13479153

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.