ArticleJournal of tropical medicine2026
High-Resolution Mapping of Environmental Suitability for Reported Ebola Spillover Events in Uganda to Inform Surveillance and Preparedness.
Article in Journal of tropical medicine, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.
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Who cites it
1 citing paper in PubMed.
- High-Resolution Mapping of Environmental Suitability for Reported Ebola Spillover Events in Uganda to Inform Surveillance and Preparedness.Journal of tropical medicine · 2026Article
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Authors and funding
4 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
Background: Uganda experiences recurrent Ebola disease (EBOD) outbreaks, yet national suitability maps often pool virus species or are too coarse for district-level planning. We aimed to generate species-resolved, 1 km relative environmental suitability surfaces for reported Ebola spillover events in Uganda; quantify the contribution of environmental, anthropogenic, and reservoir-related predictors to modeled suitability; and translate continuous outputs into operational prioritization tiers for district surveillance and preparedness. Methods: We compiled 71 laboratory-confirmed reported Ebola event localities in Uganda from 2000 to 2023, defined as the most likely documented locality of initial human infection where available, and paired them with 11 minimally collinear predictors. Pooled and virus-specific MaxEnt models were tuned in ENMeval by comparing feature-class sets across Results: Tuning selected LQHP with Conclusions: Relative environmental suitability for reported Ebola spillover localities in Uganda is concentrated in compact high-priority belts where elevated modeled suitability overlaps with large resident populations. Tier 1 and Tier 2 areas provide a focused basis for strengthening event-based surveillance, early detection, laboratory referral, infection prevention and control readiness, rapid response capacity, One Health field investigation, and community engagement.
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