Evidence map›Paper›PMID 42599992›Full record

ArticleScience advances2026

Land-use transitions and carbon emissions of aquaculture expansion in the Brazilian Amazon.

Felipe S Pacheco, Sebastian A Heilpern, Rafael M Almeida, Suresh A Sethi, Marcela Miranda, Nicholas Ray, Laura Greenstreet, Joshua Fan, Brendan H Rappazzo, Anmol Kabra and 22 more

Abstract read
PubMed Full text at PMC Publisher
In one paragraph

Article in Science advances, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
0citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

0 citing papers in PubMed.

No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

32 authors.

Felipe S PachecoDepartment of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, Cornell University, Ithaca, NY, USA.ORCID 0000-0003-2143-5225
Sebastian A HeilpernDoerr School of Sustainability, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, USA.
Rafael M AlmeidaO'Neill School of Public and Environmental Affairs, Indiana University, Bloomington, IN, USA.ORCID 0000-0001-5398-7054
Suresh A SethiAquatic Research and Environmental Assessment Center, Brooklyn College, City University of New York, New York, NY, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-0053-1827
Marcela MirandaDepartment of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, Cornell University, Ithaca, NY, USA.ORCID 0000-0001-6994-8690
Nicholas RaySchool of Marine Science and Policy, University of Delaware, Lewes, DE, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-1959-3120
Laura GreenstreetDepartment of Computer Science, Cornell University, Ithaca, NY, USA.
Joshua FanDepartment of Computer Science, Cornell University, Ithaca, NY, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-8525-0222
Brendan H RappazzoDepartment of Computer Science, Cornell University, Ithaca, NY, USA.
Anmol KabraDepartment of Computer Science, Cornell University, Ithaca, NY, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-9655-9647
Marta E UmmusEmbrapa Fisheries and Aquaculture, Palmas, Tocantins, Brazil.ORCID 0000-0002-3746-9748
Ícaro B AlvesDepartment of Biology, Federal University of Juiz de Fora, Juiz de Fora, Minas Gerais, Brazil.ORCID 0000-0002-7260-4466
Nathan O BarrosDepartment of Biology, Federal University of Juiz de Fora, Juiz de Fora, Minas Gerais, Brazil.ORCID 0000-0003-1752-8621
Jucilene CavaliDepartment of Animal Science, Federal University of Rondônia, Porto Velho, Rondônia, Brazil.
Gabriel M CesarImpacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability Division, National Institute for Space Research, São José dos Campos, São Paulo, Brazil.ORCID 0000-0002-6497-626X
Carolina R DoriaDepartment of Animal Science, Federal University of Rondônia, Porto Velho, Rondônia, Brazil.ORCID 0000-0003-1638-0063
Kathryn J FiorellaDoerr School of Sustainability, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-8625-2473
Bruce R ForsbergNational Institute for Amazonian Research, Manaus, Amazonas, Brazil.ORCID 0000-0001-7606-0585
Marcelo Gomes da SilvaSchool of Earth, Environmental, and Marine Sciences, University of Texas Rio Grande Valley, Edinburg, TX, USA.ORCID 0000-0003-2174-7720
Daniel A MacielImpacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability Division, National Institute for Space Research, São José dos Campos, São Paulo, Brazil.ORCID 0000-0003-4543-5908
David McGrathEarth Innovation Institute, San Francisco, CA, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-4557-4951
Peter B McIntyreDepartment of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, Cornell University, Ithaca, NY, USA.ORCID 0000-0003-1809-7552
Patricia Moraes-ValentiAquaculture Center, São Paulo State University, Jaboticabal, São Paulo, Brazil.ORCID 0000-0001-5917-0539
Ilce OliveiraDepartment of Animal Science, Federal University of Rondônia, Porto Velho, Rondônia, Brazil.
Jean P H B OmettoImpacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability Division, National Institute for Space Research, São José dos Campos, São Paulo, Brazil.ORCID 0000-0002-4221-1039
Fabio RolandDepartment of Biology, Federal University of Juiz de Fora, Juiz de Fora, Minas Gerais, Brazil.ORCID 0000-0001-8124-9972
Adry TrindadeNational Institute for Amazonian Research, Manaus, Amazonas, Brazil.ORCID 0000-0003-2497-1947
Wagner C ValentiAquaculture Center, São Paulo State University, Jaboticabal, São Paulo, Brazil.ORCID 0000-0002-8526-1052
Aline M ValerioO'Neill School of Public and Environmental Affairs, Indiana University, Bloomington, IN, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-5478-845X
Xiangtao XuDepartment of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, Cornell University, Ithaca, NY, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-9402-9474
Carla P GomesDepartment of Computer Science, Cornell University, Ithaca, NY, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-4441-7225
Alexander S FleckerDepartment of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, Cornell University, Ithaca, NY, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-4636-2109

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Accounting for land-use change underlying food sector expansion is critical for conserving ecosystem integrity. This challenge is particularly acute in the Amazon, where the conversion of forests for food production is pronounced and has broad implications for global biodiversity and the cycling of water and carbon. Here, we analyze land-use transitions associated with aquaculture development in the Brazilian Amazon. We found that a 450-fold increase in aquaculture pond area from 1985 to 2022 occurred primarily on pasturelands (87%) but also included wetland conversion (4%) and deforestation (5%). Notably, continued growth can be sustained within already altered landscapes: In Rondônia, the leading aquaculture state in the Amazon, production could double by converting only 1.2% of the total degraded pasture area. While directing aquaculture expansion toward degraded pastures could reduce further natural habitat conversion and carbon costs historically associated with food production in the Amazon, realizing this potential will depend on strong governance and enforceable land-use policies to guide siting decisions.

Indexed as

AquacultureCarbonBiodiversityBrazilConservation of Natural ResourcesEcosystemCarbon

Identifiers

PMID42599992
PMCPMC13475470

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.