ArticleGlobal change biology2026
Fire-Moisture Interactions Shape Recovery Trajectories Across Temperate Vegetation Communities.
Article in Global change biology, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.
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Abstract
The recovery of vegetation following fire is increasingly shaped by concurrent climate-driven hydrological extremes, such as drought and extreme precipitation. Under these multi-disturbance scenarios vegetation communities are likely to show different recovery thresholds and trajectories of change, but this is yet to be fully understood or quantified. We used the Greater Blue Mountains World Heritage Area in south-eastern Australia as a model system to assess how sustained moisture surplus or deficit could differentially influence the recovery of forest, heath and wetland vegetation from low-extreme severity fire. From 2015 to 2024, this region experienced severe drought, extensive bushfires (the 'Black Summer' bushfires) and extreme rainfall events. By using a new remote-sensing index (the Post-fire Stability Index) that measures the rate of change in a disturbed system, we found that most vegetation communities could recover following low-severity fire even in the case of poor soil moisture conditions, but moisture became increasingly limiting as burn severity increased. Certain communities, such as wet sclerophyll forests and freshwater wetlands, experienced disproportionate declines (up to
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