Evidence map›Paper›PMID 42594866›Full record

ArticleCell systems2026

Predicting specificity of TCR-pMHC interactions using machine-learning and biophysical models.

Martin Culka, Nicolas W Lounsbury, William Thrift, Santrupti Nerli, Andrew Wallace, Gergő Nikolényi, Darya Orlova, Kiran Mukhyala, Mohammed AlQuraishi

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Cell systems, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 9 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
9citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

9 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Review
  3. A cell-based kinetic framework enables TCR specificity prediction.Signal transduction and targeted therapy · 2026
    Article
  4. Review
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Solution mapping of MHC-I:TCR interactions using a minimalistic protein system.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2025
    Article
  9. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

Martin CulkaDepartment of Systems Biology, Columbia University, New York, NY 10032, USA.
Nicolas W LounsburyGenentech, South San Francisco, CA 94080, USA.
William ThriftGenentech, South San Francisco, CA 94080, USA.
Santrupti NerliGenentech, South San Francisco, CA 94080, USA.
Andrew WallaceGenentech, South San Francisco, CA 94080, USA.
Gergő NikolényiDepartment of Systems Biology, Columbia University, New York, NY 10032, USA.
Darya OrlovaGenentech, South San Francisco, CA 94080, USA.
Kiran MukhyalaGenentech, South San Francisco, CA 94080, USA. Electronic address: mukhyala@gene.com.
Mohammed AlQuraishiDepartment of Systems Biology, Columbia University, New York, NY 10032, USA. Electronic address: ma4129@cumc.columbia.edu.

Funding

Machine learning of biomolecular interactions and the human signaling networks they compriseR35GM150546 · NIGMS · COLUMBIA UNIVERSITY HEALTH SCIENCES · PI Mohammed Nazar AlQuraishi · 2023 to 2026
$1.6M
Fast and slow prediction of stable and transient protein-protein interactionsR01LM014674 · NLM · COLUMBIA UNIVERSITY HEALTH SCIENCES · PI ALQURAISHI, MOHAMMED NAZAR · 2025 to 2025
$1.4M
NIGMS NIH HHS R35 GM150546NLM NIH HHS R01 LM014674
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Understanding T cell receptor (TCR) discrimination of MHC-presented epitope peptides (pMHCs) remains challenging. While machine-learning (ML)-based predictions of TCR specificity have gained attention, their capacity to generalize to unseen peptides is often misinterpreted. Using a proprietary cancer patient dataset, we show that ML methods succeed in predicting TCR specificity for known peptides but fail to generalize to novel peptides. Conversely, physics-based methods outperform ML methods on novel peptides but underperform on known peptides. In light of these observations, we develop a new ML method that leverages protein foundation models to achieve better or comparable performance than existing ML and biophysical methods on both in- and out-of-distribution TCR-pMHC specificity prediction. We furthermore characterize method performance as a function of distance of TCR sequence specificity between training and test sets. Our analysis elucidates the current limitations of modeling TCR-pMHC interactions and outlines new avenues for method development and data acquisition.

Indexed as

Receptors, Antigen, T-CellEpitopes, T-LymphocyteHumansMachine LearningPeptidesPrediction AlgorithmsPredictive Learning ModelsEpitopes, T-LymphocytePeptidesReceptors, Antigen, T-CellAlphaFoldcancer neoantigensESMexplainable MLforce fieldmachine learningprotein-peptideprotein-proteinT-cell specificityTCR pMHC

Identifiers

PMID42594866
PMCPMC13502210

What OpenQuestion holds

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Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.