ArticleTherapeutic advances in endocrinology and metabolism2026
From traditional to novel: a national cohort study on the predictive value of C-reactive protein-triglyceride-glucose-obesity composite parameters for cardiovascular disease.
Article in Therapeutic advances in endocrinology and metabolism, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.
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Abstract
Background: Cardiovascular disease (CVD) is the leading cause of mortality worldwide. The C-reactive protein-triglyceride-glucose (CTI) index captures metabolic inflammation and insulin resistance, while obesity indices reflect adiposity-related cardiometabolic risk. However, the predictive value of combining CTI with obesity indices for CVD remains unclear. Objectives: To examine the prognostic utility of CTI combined with established and novel obesity indicators for CVD, and to benchmark their predictive efficacy. Design: Nationally representative prospective cohort study. Methods: Using data from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS), a nationally representative prospective cohort, 7847 adults aged 45 years and above without baseline CVD were enrolled. CTI was calculated from C-reactive protein, fasting blood glucose, and triglycerides (TG); each obesity index was combined with CTI to form composite parameters (CTI-body mass index (CTI-BMI), CTI-waist circumference (CTI-WC), CTI-waist-to-height ratio (CTI-WHtR), CTI-body roundness index (CTI-BRI), CTI-weight-adjusted waist index (CTI-WWI), CTI-Chinese visceral adiposity index (CTI-CVAI), CTI-a body shape index (CTI-ABSI)). We employed Cox proportional hazard models, restricted cubic spline analyses, Kaplan-Meier survival plots, ROC curve evaluations, and weighted quantile sum (WQS) regression to examine the links and prognostic utility of each metric with incident CVD across baseline and cumulative exposure tiers. Results: Over a 9-year follow-up period, 1938 new-onset CVD cases were documented. Following multivariable adjustment, each CTI-obesity composite metric showed a significant positive link to CVD risk ( Conclusion: CTI combined with obesity indices, particularly CTI-CVAI, was associated with modestly improved predictive ability for CVD risk compared with CTI alone. This parameter may offer incremental information for CVD risk stratification by integrating metabolic inflammation and visceral fat markers.
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