ArticleJournal of public health policy2026
Households under pressure: a systems framework for modeling the "watch" famine archetype.
Article in Journal of public health policy, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.
What it found
Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.
The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
0 citing papers in PubMed.
No citing paper in PubMed yet.
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
1 author.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
Famines are complex systems that change over time, and in which outcomes differ by household situation and livelihood. The "watch" famine system archetype occurs when populations engage in coping strategies to deal with a hunger gap, such as between agricultural harvests, which can interfere with future food production and mask the existence of a crisis to outside observers. I present a framework for modeling household responses to hunger. I used a partial prototype model for agrarian, horticultural, or foraging livelihoods to simulate the role of rationing and foraging as coping responses to insufficient food. Although not all dynamics were included, simulations suggested that while coping mechanisms can improve outcomes, rationing may also produce negative outcomes, due to the increased chance of death with lower energy reserves. I discuss next steps for a more complete framework, generalization to other famine systems, and implications for monitoring and responding to famine systems.
Indexed as
Identifiers
What OpenQuestion holds
Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.