Evidence map›Paper›PMID 42577749›Full record

ArticleScientifica2026

Explainable Survival Modeling in Pediatric Hematopoietic Stem Cell Transplantation Using Landmark-Based Machine Learning.

Khawar Siddiqui, Abdulrahman Al-Musa, Mona Al-Saleh, Hawazen Al Saedi, Abdullah Al-Jefri, Ibrahim Ghemlas, Awatif Al Anazi, Saadiya Khan, Mouhab Ayas, Edward De Vol and 1 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Scientifica, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors.

Khawar SiddiquiDepartment of Pediatric Hematology/Oncology, King Faisal Specialist Hospital and Research Center, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, kfshrc.edu.sa.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9581-7993
Abdulrahman Al-MusaDepartment of Pediatric Hematology/Oncology, King Faisal Specialist Hospital and Research Center, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, kfshrc.edu.sa.
Mona Al-SalehDepartment of Pediatrics, College of Medicine, Imam Abdulrahman Bin Faisal University, Alkhobar, Saudi Arabia, iau.edu.sa.
Hawazen Al SaediDepartment of Pediatric Hematology/Oncology, King Faisal Specialist Hospital and Research Center, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, kfshrc.edu.sa.
Abdullah Al-JefriDepartment of Pediatric Hematology/Oncology, King Faisal Specialist Hospital and Research Center, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, kfshrc.edu.sa.
Ibrahim GhemlasDepartment of Pediatric Hematology/Oncology, King Faisal Specialist Hospital and Research Center, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, kfshrc.edu.sa.
Awatif Al AnaziDepartment of Pediatric Hematology/Oncology, King Faisal Specialist Hospital and Research Center, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, kfshrc.edu.sa.
Saadiya KhanDepartment of Pediatric Hematology/Oncology, King Faisal Specialist Hospital and Research Center, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, kfshrc.edu.sa.
Mouhab AyasDepartment of Pediatric Hematology/Oncology, King Faisal Specialist Hospital and Research Center, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, kfshrc.edu.sa.
Edward De VolResearch Administrative Operations Department, King Faisal Specialist Hospital and Research Center, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, kfshrc.edu.sa.
Ali Al-AhmariDepartment of Pediatric Hematology/Oncology, King Faisal Specialist Hospital and Research Center, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, kfshrc.edu.sa.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background: Machine learning survival models can outperform conventional Cox regression in heterogeneous pediatric HSCT cohorts, but clinical adoption is limited by concerns regarding information leakage, time-dependent structure, and interpretability. We evaluated explainable survival modeling aligned to real-world decision points before transplantation and after early post-transplant complications. Materials and Methods: In a single-center cohort of 839 transplant-naïve children (< 14 years) undergoing HSCT (2010-2016), overall survival was modeled from infusion to death or last follow-up. A baseline model used only pretransplant variables (age at HSCT, primary diagnostic group, stem cell source, and donor HLA type). To prevent leakage from postinfusion events, a day + 100 landmark cohort ( Results: Overall mortality was 28.1% (236/839). Baseline Cox violated proportional hazards (global Conclusion: An information-leakage-free, landmark-based XAI framework allows clinically credible survival prediction in pediatric HSCT, with random survival forests outperforming Cox regression and providing transparent cohort-level and patient-level explanations suitable for clinical communication and risk updating.

Indexed as

acute GvHDartificial intelligenceblack-box modelglobal explanationhematopoietic stem cell transplantationlocal explanationpediatricsinusoidal obstruction syndromesurvexveno-occlusive disease

Identifiers

PMID42577749
PMCPMC13455121

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.