ArticleInfectious Disease Modelling2027
Stage-aware deep learning with adversarial data synthesis enables prospective season-scale A/H1N1 influenza forecasting in China.
Article in Infectious Disease Modelling, 2027. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.
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Abstract
Accurate influenza forecasting is essential for public health preparedness, yet many models require future covariates, provide limited interpretability, and degrade under post-pandemic regime shifts. We propose a Stage-Aware Multimodal Neural Network (SAMNN) that integrates multimodal temporal features using configurations adapted to heterogeneous transmission regimes and supports season-ahead scenario forecasting using adversarially synthesized covariates. Using 13 years of national A/H1N1 surveillance data from mainland China (2011∼2024), SAMNN was evaluated across three epidemiologically distinct seasons spanning ∼20-fold differences in peak intensity. SAMNN achieved
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