Widespread land-use change may be caused by adaptation to climate-induced yield reductions.

Bo Fu, Yongye Jiang, Xinhao Suo, Guolong Chen, Yuqin Lai, Chenxi Liu, Yuxin Huang, Bengang Li

Abstract read

In one paragraph

Article in iScience, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

0numbers the graph read from it

0cells of the map it votes in

0citing papers in PubMed

–field-weighted citation impact

1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

0 citing papers in PubMed.

No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Bo FuCollege of Urban and Environmental Sciences, Institute of Carbon Neutrality, Peking University, Beijing 100871, China.

Yongye JiangCollege of Urban and Environmental Sciences, Institute of Carbon Neutrality, Peking University, Beijing 100871, China.

Xinhao SuoCollege of Urban and Environmental Sciences, Institute of Carbon Neutrality, Peking University, Beijing 100871, China.

Guolong ChenCollege of Urban and Environmental Sciences, Institute of Carbon Neutrality, Peking University, Beijing 100871, China.

Yuqin LaiCollege of Urban and Environmental Sciences, Institute of Carbon Neutrality, Peking University, Beijing 100871, China.

Chenxi LiuCollege of Urban and Environmental Sciences, Institute of Carbon Neutrality, Peking University, Beijing 100871, China.

Yuxin HuangSchool of Public Health, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangdong 518057, China.

Bengang LiCollege of Urban and Environmental Sciences, Institute of Carbon Neutrality, Peking University, Beijing 100871, China.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Agriculture is at the center of the relationship between human societies and natural systems, acting as both a major source of greenhouse gas emissions and a sector highly sensitive to climate change. When climate change reduces agricultural yields, land-use change represents a key pathway through which human societies may adapt. Here, we coupled a climate-yield emulator with an integrated assessment model to quantify how adaptation to climate-induced yield losses reshapes the global land-use patterns. We found that adaptive responses to declining yields could substantially transform global land use. Under the Shared Socioeconomic Pathway 2-4.5 (SSP2-4.5) scenario, global cropland expands by approximately 1.2 million km

Indexed as

agricultureclimate adaptationclimate changeland use change

Identifiers

PMID42571280

DOI10.1016/j.isci.2026.116973

PMCPMC13451921

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.