Evidence map›Paper›PMID 42570961›Full record

ArticleNature communications2026

Healthy vaccinee effect in the evaluation of updated COVID-19 vaccines in elderly populations.

Johan Lyth, Armin Spreco, Jorma Hinkula, Olle Björneld, Olle Eriksson, Dennis Nordvall, Örjan Dahlström, Elin A Gursky, Thomas Schön, Toomas Timpka

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature communications, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
0citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

0 citing papers in PubMed.

No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors.

Johan LythDepartment of Health, Medicine and Caring Sciences, Linköping University, Linköping University, Linköping, Sweden.
Armin SprecoRegional Executive Office, Östergötland County Council, Linköping, Sweden; Department of Medical and Health Sciences, Linköping University, Linköping, Sweden.
Jorma HinkulaDepartment of Biomedical and Clinical Sciences, Linköping University, Linköping, Sweden.ORCID 0000-0003-1908-5609
Olle BjörneldData Intensive Sciences and Applications (DISA-IDP), Department of Computer science and Media technology (CM), Faculty of Technology, Linnaeus University, Kalmar, Sweden.ORCID 0000-0002-8370-2950
Olle ErikssonQulturum Development Department, Region Jönköping County, Jönköping, Sweden.ORCID 0000-0002-5306-2753
Dennis NordvallQulturum Development Department, Region Jönköping County, Jönköping, Sweden.
Örjan DahlströmDepartment of Behavioural Sciences and Learning, Linköping University, Linköping, Sweden.ORCID 0000-0002-3955-0443
Elin A GurskyCollege of Osteopathic Medicine, William Carey University, Hattiesburg, MS, USA.
Thomas SchönDepartment of Biomedical and Clinical Sciences, Linköping University, Linköping, Sweden.
Toomas TimpkaDepartment of Health, Medicine and Caring Sciences, Linköping University, Linköping University, Linköping, Sweden. toomas.timpka@liu.se.ORCID 0000-0001-6049-5402

Funding

Forskningsrådet i Sydöstra Sverige (Medical Research Council of Southeast Sweden) FORSS-940915Vetenskapsrådet (Swedish Research Council) 2021-05608Vetenskapsrådet (Swedish Research Council) 2022-05608Vetenskapsrådet (Swedish Research Council) 2025-06721
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Established determinants of health in the elderly help guide routines for indicated vaccine administration, while unmeasured frailty may limit vaccine access. We evaluate the performance of the 2024-2025 COVID-19 vaccine adapted to the Omicron JN.1 lineage in a Swedish population aged ≥65 years (N = 245 696). Vaccine effectiveness (VE) on COVID-19-related hospitalization and a negative control outcome (NCO; all-cause mortality) are assessed in various cohorts between October 1, 2024 to March 31, 2025. The VE was 75% (95% CI 70%-79%) overall, and 84% (95% CI 80%-87%) and 65% (95% CI 34%-82%) in individuals with and without vaccination with the prior updated COVID-19 vaccine in 2023-2024, respectively. The NCO in individuals exposed to the study vaccine in 2024-2025 was half of that seen in those not exposed to the vaccine (HR 0.43 [95% CI 0.40-0.45]). Removing individuals hospitalized with COVID-19 from this population did not change the difference in NCO (HR 0.43 [95% CI 0.41-0.46]). These findings suggest the presence of selection effects arising from under-provision of health services to elderly individuals with frailty. The healthy vaccinee effect should be considered in observational studies of the effectiveness of updated COVID-19 vaccines in elderly populations.

Indexed as

COVID-19COVID-19 VaccinesSARS-CoV-2Vaccine EfficacyAgedAged, 80 and overFemaleHospitalizationHumansMaleSwedenVaccinationCOVID-19 Vaccines

Identifiers

PMID42570961
PMCPMC13452808

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.