Evidence map›Paper›PMID 42570306›Full record

ArticleStatistical methods in medical research2026

What is estimated in cluster randomized crossover trials with informative sizes? A survey of estimands and common estimators.

Kenneth M Lee, Andrew B Forbes, Jessica Kasza, Andrew Copas, Brennan C Kahan, Paul J Young, Michael O Harhay, Fan Li

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Statistical methods in medical research, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Model-robust standardization in stepped wedge cluster randomized trials.Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series A, (Statistics in Society) · 2026
    Article
  3. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Kenneth M LeeDepartment of Biostatistics, Epidemiology and Informatics, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, PA, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-0454-4537
Andrew B ForbesSchool of Public Health and Preventive Medicine, Monash University, Melbourne, VIC, Australia.ORCID 0000-0003-4269-914X
Jessica KaszaSchool of Public Health and Preventive Medicine, Monash University, Melbourne, VIC, Australia.ORCID 0000-0002-8940-0136
Andrew CopasMRC Clinical Trials Unit at UCL, London, UK.ORCID 0000-0001-8968-5963
Brennan C KahanMRC Clinical Trials Unit at UCL, London, UK.ORCID 0000-0001-9957-0844
Paul J YoungIntensive Care Unit, Wellington Hospital, Wellington, New Zealand.ORCID 0000-0002-3428-3083
Michael O HarhayDepartment of Biostatistics, Epidemiology and Informatics, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, PA, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-0553-674X
Fan LiDepartment of Biostatistics, Yale School of Public Health, New Haven, CT, USA.ORCID 0000-0001-6183-1893

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The cluster randomized crossover (CRXO) trial, among other multi-period cluster randomized trial designs, can target average treatment effect (ATE) estimands that equally weigh the contributions of individuals (iATE), clusters (cATE), cluster-periods (cpATE), or periods (pATE). With these weighted ATE estimands, we define different forms of informative sizes, where the treatment effects vary according to cluster, period, and/or cluster-period sizes, causing these estimands to differ. Under such informative sizes, we survey which of the unweighted, inverse cluster-period size weighted, inverse cluster size weighted, and inverse period size weighted: (i) independence estimating equation, (ii) fixed effects model, (iii) exchangeable mixed effects model, and (iv) nested exchangeable mixed effects model treatment effect estimators are consistent for the aforementioned estimands in cross-sectional CRXO designs with continuous outcomes. We demonstrate that with informative sizes, the unweighted and weighted nested exchangeable mixed effects model estimators are not consistent for any meaningful estimand and can yield biased results. In contrast, the unweighted and weighted independence estimating equation, and under specific scenarios, the fixed effects model and exchangeable mixed effects model, can yield consistent and empirically unbiased estimators for meaningful estimands in CRXO trials.

Indexed as

Randomized Controlled Trials as TopicCluster AnalysisCross-Over StudiesData Interpretation, StatisticalHumansModels, StatisticalSample SizeCluster randomized crossover trialsconsistencyestimandsfixed effectsinformative sizesmixed effects

Identifiers

PMID42570306
PMCPMC13558815

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.