Evidence map›Paper›PMID 42559441›Full record

ArticleThe Canadian journal of statistics = Revue canadienne de statistique2026

Improved risk prediction via cross-domain calibration in a retrospective case-control study.

Ge Zhao, Yanyuan Ma, Yaqi Cao

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in The Canadian journal of statistics = Revue canadienne de statistique, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
0citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

0 citing papers in PubMed.

No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

Ge ZhaoDepartment of Mathematics and Statistics, Portland State University, Portland, U.S.ORCID 0000-0002-2875-8652
Yanyuan MaDepartment of Statistics, Penn State University, University Park, U.S.
Yaqi CaoDepartment of Statistics, School of Science, Minzu University of China, Beijing, China.

Funding

Landis Award for Outstanding Mentorship: Administrative Supplement to NS131225R01NS131225 · NINDS · UNIV OF NORTH CAROLINA CHAPEL HILL · PI Tanya Pamela Garcia · 2023 to 2026
$2.2M
NINDS NIH HHS R01 NS131225
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Given a well calibrated standard model involving standard predictors, we propose a constrained maximum likelihood approach to incorporate the biomarker sampled from a different population without having to correctly model them to improve the prediction. The constraints ensure that the averaged risk with the biomarker included is as close as that from the standard model. Our method allows different distributions of the standard risk predictors between the target population and the source population of the study data, and relies on the study data to inform the relationship between biomarker and standard predictors. We develop large sample theory of our method for parameters and measures for predictive accuracy, and perform simulation studies to assess the finite sample performance of our method. We apply our method to analyze a case-control study of breast cancer to develop a model that includes both standard breast cancer risk predictors and the biomarker mammographic density.

Indexed as

62P1090C30CalibrationCase-control dataConstrained optimizationPrimary 62–02Retrospective likelihoodSecondary 90–01

Identifiers

PMID42559441
PMCPMC13441221

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceTDM
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.