Evidence map›Paper›PMID 42557051›Full record

ArticleGlobal change biology2026

Predicting Coral Cover Trends From Local to Broad Spatial Scales.

Julie Vercelloni, Murray Logan, Andrew Zammit-Mangion, Matthew Sainsbury-Dale, Britta Schaffelke, Kerrie Mengersen, Manuel González-Rivero

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Global change biology, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
0citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

0 citing papers in PubMed.

No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Julie VercelloniAustralian Institute of Marine Science, Townsville MC, Queensland, Australia.ORCID 0000-0001-5227-014X
Murray LoganAustralian Institute of Marine Science, Townsville MC, Queensland, Australia.
Andrew Zammit-MangionSchool of Mathematics and Statistics, University of New South Wales, Sydney, New South Wales, Australia.ORCID 0000-0002-4164-6866
Matthew Sainsbury-DaleStatistics Program, Computer, Electrical and Mathematical Sciences and Engineering Division, King Abdullah University of Science and Technology, Thuwal, Saudi Arabia.
Britta SchaffelkeAustralian Institute of Marine Science, Townsville MC, Queensland, Australia.ORCID 0000-0002-8487-0147
Kerrie MengersenCentre for Data Science, Queensland University of Technology, Brisbane, Queensland, Australia.ORCID 0000-0001-8625-9168
Manuel González-RiveroAustralian Institute of Marine Science, Townsville MC, Queensland, Australia.

Funding

Australian Research Council Laureate Fellowship Program FL150100150Australian Research Council Special Research Initiative in Excellence SR200100005Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade 78079
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Modern biodiversity monitoring programs are designed to provide rapid assessments of trends in the abundance and distribution of keystone taxa and timely scientific insights for decision-making. An important consideration when delivering this information to stakeholders is the quantification of uncertainty, which determines the robustness of detecting changes across habitats and regions. In coral reef science, sparse and fragmented monitoring datasets hinder assessments of reef habitat changes. We introduce a comprehensive prediction framework for estimating trends in hard coral cover and associated uncertainty at a local scale (5 km

Indexed as

AnthozoaBiodiversityCoral ReefsEnvironmental MonitoringModels, TheoreticalAnimalsClimate ChangeCyclonic StormsBayesiancoral reefsdisturbanceslong‐term datamonitoringpredictive modelspatio‐temporal dependence structureuncertainty

Identifiers

PMID42557051
PMCPMC13441547

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.