Evidence map›Paper›PMID 42556164›Full record

Trial reportDrug and alcohol dependence2026

Branded packaging raises likelihood of cigarette purchasing in an experimental retail setting by increasing craving.

Michael S Dunbar, Claude M Setodji, Steven C Martino, Maggie Hieber, William G Shadel

Abstract readRandomized Controlled Trial
In one paragraph

Trial report in Drug and alcohol dependence, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
0citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

0 citing papers in PubMed.

No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Michael S DunbarRAND, 4570, 5th Avenue, Suite 600, Pittsburgh, PA 15213-2665, United States. Electronic address: mdunbar@rand.org.
Claude M SetodjiRAND, 4570, 5th Avenue, Suite 600, Pittsburgh, PA 15213-2665, United States.
Steven C MartinoRAND, 4570, 5th Avenue, Suite 600, Pittsburgh, PA 15213-2665, United States.
Maggie HieberRAND, 4570, 5th Avenue, Suite 600, Pittsburgh, PA 15213-2665, United States.
William G ShadelRAND, 4570, 5th Avenue, Suite 600, Pittsburgh, PA 15213-2665, United States.

Funding

The Impact of Standardized Tobacco Product Packaging on Young Adults in the Retail EnvironmentR01CA261639 · NCI · RAND CORPORATION · PI SHADEL, WILLIAM G · 2022 to 2025
$2.6M
NCI NIH HHS R01 CA261639
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

introductionExposure to branded cigarette packaging in retail settings has been shown to be associated with purchasing behavior, but the mechanisms underlying this effect are unclear. This study tested whether cigarette craving and perceived health harms mediate the effect of branded packaging on cigarette purchasing in a simulated retail environment.

methodsYoung adults aged 21-34 who currently smoke cigarettes (n = 290) completed an experimental shopping task in the RAND StoreLab, a life-sized replica of a convenience store. Participants were randomly assigned to one of two conditions: (1) branding present, in which branded cigarette packages were displayed; and (2) branding absent condition, in which branded elements were removed and packages were standardized in a brown-green color and uniform text. Cigarette purchases were recorded, and participants completed post-shopping measures of cigarette craving and perceived health harms. Causal effect decomposition analyses were used to assess whether these variables mediated the effect of study condition on the likelihood of purchasing cigarettes.

resultsCraving, but not perceived health harms, partially mediated the effect of branded packaging on cigarette purchasing. Exposure to branded packs increased the likelihood of purchasing by elevating craving (average mediated effect = 2.4%, 95% CI 0.2% - 5.0%, p = .03).

conclusionsBranded cigarette packaging appears to increase cigarette purchasing at least in part by increasing cigarette craving at point of sale. Interventions that address craving management in retail settings (e.g., just-in-time interventions, prn nicotine replacement therapy) may help mitigate the impact of branding on young adults' cigarette purchasing.

Indexed as

Cigarette SmokingCommerceConsumer BehaviorCravingProduct PackagingTobacco ProductsAdultFemaleHumansMaleYoung AdultCigarette packagingCravingMediationPlain packagingPurchasingTobacco retail

Identifiers

PMID42556164
PMCPMC13456400

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.