Evidence map›Paper›PMID 42553754›Full record

ArticleBMJ public health2026

Longitudinal retrospective cohort study to examine liver, cardiovascular and metabolic factors as predictors of all-cause mortality in a rural population in South-West Uganda.

Cori Campbell, Joseph O Mugisha, Beatrice Kimono, Elizabeth Waddilove, Ronald Makanga, Florence Nambaziira Muzaale, Tingyan Wang, Janet Seeley, Moffat Nyirenda, Philippa C Matthews and 1 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMJ public health, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

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1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

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2 · The registry

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3 · Its place in the literature

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4 · The record

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5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors.

Cori CampbellNIHR Oxford Biomedical Research Centre, Oxford, UK.
Joseph O MugishaMRC/UVRI and LSHTM Uganda Research Unit, Entebbe, Uganda.
Beatrice KimonoMRC/UVRI and LSHTM Uganda Research Unit, Entebbe, Uganda.
Elizabeth WaddiloveThe Francis Crick Institute, London, UK.
Ronald MakangaMRC/UVRI and LSHTM Uganda Research Unit, Entebbe, Uganda.
Florence Nambaziira MuzaaleMRC/UVRI and LSHTM Uganda Research Unit, Entebbe, Uganda.
Tingyan WangNuffield Department of Medicine, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.
Janet SeeleyMRC/UVRI and LSHTM Uganda Research Unit, Entebbe, Uganda.
Moffat NyirendaMRC/UVRI and LSHTM Uganda Research Unit, Entebbe, Uganda.
Philippa C MatthewsThe Francis Crick Institute, London, UK.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4036-4269
Robert NewtonMRC/UVRI and LSHTM Uganda Research Unit, Entebbe, Uganda.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6715-9153

Funding

Wellcome Trust CC2223
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Introduction: Markers of liver and metabolic disease have not been well described for many populations in Africa, but could be important to inform individual and public health interventions that reduce morbidity and mortality. Methods: We studied longitudinal data from a population in rural Uganda, aiming (1) to describe trends in liver function tests and (2) to investigate how liver, metabolic and cardiovascular parameters are associated with all-cause mortality. Demographic and laboratory data were collected through the General Population Cohort in South-Western Uganda. We summarised cohort characteristics at baseline using descriptive statistics and used univariable and multivariable Cox proportional hazards models to investigate factors associated with adjusted HR (aHR) for death over a 12-year period (between 2011 and 2023). Results: Our dataset includes 7896 individuals, of whom 4441/7896 (56%) were female and 5722/7896 (72%) were aged under 45 years. Prevalence of hepatitis B virus (HBV) was 216/7896 (2.74%; 95% CI 2.38% to 3.10%) and HIV was 582/7896 (7.37%; 95% CI 6.79% to 7.94%). Alanine aminotransferase (ALT) was elevated in 2020/7896 (25.58%; 95% CI 24.62% to 26.55%). During the period observed, all-cause death was associated with older age (p<0.001), male sex (aHR 1.56, 95% CI 1.30 to 1.86) and HIV infection (aHR 1.67, 95% CI 1.25 to 2.22). Mortality was associated with an increase in aspartate aminotransferase:ALT ratio (aHR 1.17, 95% CI 1.08 to 1.26), a marker of alcoholic hepatitis. Increases in systolic blood pressure and haemoglobin A1c were also associated with significantly elevated hazards of death. Under sensitivity analysis restricted to participants with longitudinal follow-up data (n=871), HBV infection was associated with death (aHR 5.38, 95% CI 2.01 to 14.42). Conclusions: Simple interventions to prevent, diagnose and treat hypertension, diabetes, alcohol excess, and HIV and HBV infection could have an important impact on mortality in this setting.

Indexed as

EpidemiologyHIVHypertensionPrevalencePublic Health

Identifiers

PMID42553754
PMCPMC13436094

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.