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ArticleFrontiers in cardiovascular medicine2026

Trajectories of symptom scores and risk of cardiovascular events in the vulnerable phase of heart failure: an analysis using a latent class trajectory model.

Dan Xiao, Yuan Xu, Yan Jiang, Zhiteng Xiong, Qihui Shen, Xinglan Sun, Xiaoyun Xiong, Bing Hu

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Article in Frontiers in cardiovascular medicine, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

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5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Dan Xiao *Department of Nursing, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Nanchang University, Nanchang, Jiangxi, China.
Yuan Xu *Department of Nursing, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Nanchang University, Nanchang, Jiangxi, China.
Yan JiangSchool of Nursing, Jiangxi Medical College, Nanchang University, Nanchang, Jiangxi, China.
Zhiteng XiongSchool of Nursing, Jiangxi Medical College, Nanchang University, Nanchang, Jiangxi, China.
Qihui ShenSchool of Nursing, Jiangxi Medical College, Nanchang University, Nanchang, Jiangxi, China.
Xinglan SunDepartment of Nursing, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Nanchang University, Nanchang, Jiangxi, China.
Xiaoyun XiongDepartment of Nursing, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Nanchang University, Nanchang, Jiangxi, China.
Bing HuDepartment of Acupuncture and Tuina, the Affiliated Hospital of Jiangxi University of Chinese Medicine, Nanchang, Jiangxi, China.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background: The first 2-3 months after discharge for acute or decompensated chronic heart failure (HF) constitute a "vulnerable phase" marked by high risks of rehospitalization and death. Symptom fluctuations during this period may be associated with adverse outcomes, yet evidence on post-discharge symptom trajectories is limited. This study applied a latent class trajectory model to characterize KCCQ symptom evolution and its association with early cardiovascular events. Methods: In this prospective cohort study, 1,109 patients with chronic HF admitted to a tertiary hospital in Nanchang, China (August 2020-July 2025), completed the Kansas City Cardiomyopathy Questionnaire (KCCQ) at six time points: day 3 after admission, at discharge, and 1, 2, 3, and 6 months post-discharge. Symptom trajectories were identified using latent class trajectory modeling. Associations between trajectory groups and major adverse cardiovascular events (MACEs) were analyzed using multivariable logistic regression, and an exploratory mediation analysis was conducted to examine whether trajectory patterns partly accounted for the association between KCCQ scores and MACEs. Results: During follow-up, 207 patients (18.7%) experienced MACEs. Latent class trajectory analysis identified four distinct groups: persistently declining, slowly improving, stable-moderate, and stable-high. Relative to the stable-moderate group, patients in the persistently declining group had higher odds of MACEs (OR = 2.242, 95% CI: 1.073-4.718, Conclusions: Symptom recovery after HF hospitalization is heterogeneous and was associated with cardiovascular outcomes. Persistently worsening symptoms predict the highest risk, while stable or improving trajectories indicate favorable recovery. Tracking KCCQ trajectories may support early risk stratification and personalized management during the vulnerable phase.

Indexed as

cardiovascular eventsheart failurelatent class trajectory modeltrajectoriesvulnerable phase

Identifiers

PMID42548830
PMCPMC13429835

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.