Evidence map›Paper›PMID 42539917›Full record

ReviewOrthopaedic journal of sports medicine2026

Reconstruction After an Anterior Cruciate Ligament Injury Does Not Reduce the Osteoarthritis Risk But Lowers the Total Knee Arthroplasty Rate: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis.

Benjamin Blackman, Matey Juric, Seth Ybema, Marc Daniel Bouchard, Matthew Macciacchera, Bogdan A Matache, Jihad Abouali

Abstract readReview
In one paragraph

Review in Orthopaedic journal of sports medicine, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
0citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

0 citing papers in PubMed.

No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Benjamin BlackmanDivision of Orthopaedic Surgery, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada.ORCID https://orcid.org/0009-0009-8113-3705
Matey JuricFaculty of Medicine, University of Ottawa, Ottawa, Ontario, Canada.ORCID https://orcid.org/0009-0005-1650-542X
Seth YbemaMichael G. DeGroote School of Medicine, McMaster University, Hamilton, Ontario, Canada.ORCID https://orcid.org/0009-0009-7659-5147
Marc Daniel BouchardDivision of Orthopaedic Surgery, Department of Surgery, McMaster University, Hamilton, Ontario, Canada.ORCID https://orcid.org/0009-0003-6883-9486
Matthew MacciaccheraDivision of Orthopaedic Surgery, University of Ottawa, Ottawa, Ontario, Canada.
Bogdan A MatacheDepartment of Surgery, The Ottawa Hospital, Ottawa, Ontario, Canada.
Jihad AboualiDivision of Orthopaedic Surgery, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background: An anterior cruciate ligament (ACL) rupture is a common and debilitating knee injury. Although surgical management restores knee stability, its effectiveness in preventing long-term joint degeneration compared with nonoperative management remains unclear. Purpose/Hypothesis: The purpose of this study was to compare the long-term incidence of radiographic knee osteoarthritis (OA) after the operative versus nonoperative management of ACL injuries. It was hypothesized that operative management would lead to lower rates of OA. Study Design: Systematic review and meta-analysis; Level of evidence, 3. Methods: A systematic review and meta-analysis were conducted per PRISMA (Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses) guidelines. PubMed, Embase, and Scopus were searched through June 2025 for comparative studies evaluating the development of OA after an ACL injury that was treated with operative or nonoperative management. Radiographic OA was defined as Kellgren-Lawrence grade ≥2 or equivalent. Random-effects meta-analyses were performed to compare radiographic OA, secondary meniscal surgery, and total knee arthroplasty (TKA) rates between treatment groups. Study quality was assessed using the MINORS (Methodological Index for Non-Randomized Studies) instrument and the Cochrane RoB 2 (risk of bias tool). The certainty of evidence was assessed using the GRADE (Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development and Evaluation) framework. Results: A total of 18 studies comprising 33,540 patients (mean follow-up, 12.3 years) were included. A meta-analysis of 15 studies found no significant difference in radiographic OA between the ACL reconstruction (ACLR) and nonoperative groups (risk ratio [RR], 1.01 [95% CI, 0.79-1.27]; Conclusion: The operative management of ACL injuries did not decrease the long-term risk of developing radiographic OA compared with nonoperative management. ACLR was associated with a lower rate of TKA.

Indexed as

anterior cruciate ligamentlong-term outcomesnonoperativeosteoarthritisreconstruction

Identifiers

PMID42539917
PMCPMC13424783

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.