Evidence map›Paper›PMID 42539022›Full record

ArticlebioRxiv : the preprint server for biology2026

Suboptimal human inference reflects an efficient and flexible information bottleneck.

Jacob A Parker, Alexandre L S Filipowicz, Kristen Li, Vijay Balasubramanian, Joseph W Kable, Joshua I Gold

Abstract readPreprint
In one paragraph

Article in bioRxiv : the preprint server for biology, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
0citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

0 citing papers in PubMed.

No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Jacob A ParkerDept. of Neuroscience, Univ. of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, PA, USA.ORCID 0000-0001-8556-5323
Alexandre L S FilipowiczDept. of Neuroscience, Univ. of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, PA, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-1311-386X
Kristen LiDept. of Neuroscience, Univ. of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, PA, USA.
Vijay BalasubramanianDept. of Neuroscience, Univ. of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, PA, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-6497-3819
Joseph W KableDept. of Psychology, Univ. of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, PA, USA.ORCID 0000-0001-6495-9040
Joshua I GoldDept. of Neuroscience, Univ. of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, PA, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-6018-0483

Funding

LC-ACC interactions supporting adaptive, feedback-driven decisionsR01MH127566 · NIMH · UNIVERSITY OF PENNSYLVANIA · PI JOSHUA I GOLD · 2022 to 2026
$2.9M
NIMH NIH HHS R01 MH127566
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Human inference is often suboptimal in ways that vary across individuals and tasks. We propose that at least some of this variability reflects information-processing limits. To test this idea, we developed a task-general application of the information-bottleneck framework to quantify how much information individuals use (information capacity) and how effectively they use it (information efficiency). We applied this framework to human choice behavior on two distinct inference tasks and found that individual differences in performance were driven largely by variation in information capacity, while information efficiency remained consistently high. This pattern of variable capacity and high efficiency also applied to a subset of participants who appeared inefficient overall, but were efficient when evaluated relative to a simplified (heuristic) encoding of the observations. Regardless of whether participants based their strategies on full or simplified encodings, they tended to adjust their performance to different task demands by changing their information capacity while maintaining efficiency. We interpret these findings in terms of new analytical results linking optimal inference under information-capacity constraints to evidence-based choice noise, suggesting that a key driver of human behavioral variability is rational adaptation to flexible information-processing limits.

Indexed as

biasbounded rationalitycomplexitycompressiondecision-makingheuristicsindividual variabilityinferenceinformation bottlenecknoiseprecision

Identifiers

PMID42539022
PMCPMC13419500

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.