Evidence map›Paper›PMID 42536720›Full record

ArticleScience advances2026

Sub-annual resolution evidence for limited impact of the 74-ka Toba eruption on eastern African climate.

Jinheum Park, Christine S Lane, Philip A Barker, Christine Cocquyt, Maarten van Daele, Maxim Deprez, Yvonne Hamann, Jack H Lacey, Melanie J Leng, Catherine Martin-Jones and 4 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Science advances, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
0citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

0 citing papers in PubMed.

No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

14 authors.

Jinheum ParkDepartment of Geography, University of Cambridge; Cambridge, CB2 3EN, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0002-2250-8804
Christine S LaneDepartment of Geography, University of Cambridge; Cambridge, CB2 3EN, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0001-9206-3903
Philip A BarkerLancaster Environment Centre, Lancaster University; Lancaster, LA1 4YQ, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0002-5334-9201
Christine CocquytResearch Department, Meise Botanic Garden; Meise, B-1860, Belgium.ORCID 0000-0002-0047-4180
Maarten van DaeleRenard Centre of Marine Geology, Department of Geology, Ghent University; Gent, B-9000, Belgium.ORCID 0000-0002-8530-4438
Maxim DeprezCentre of X-ray Tomography-PProGRess, Department of Geology, Ghent University; Gent, B-9000, Belgium.ORCID 0000-0001-6356-5293
Yvonne HamannMax Planck Institute for Chemistry, Climate Geochemistry; Mainz, 55128, Germany.
Jack H LaceyNational Environmental Isotope Facility, British Geological Survey; Nottingham, NG12 5GG, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0002-6329-2149
Melanie J LengNational Environmental Isotope Facility, British Geological Survey; Nottingham, NG12 5GG, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0003-1115-5166
Catherine Martin-JonesDepartment of Geography, University of Cambridge; Cambridge, CB2 3EN, United Kingdom.
Clive OppenheimerDepartment of Geography, University of Cambridge; Cambridge, CB2 3EN, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0003-4506-7260
Céline-Marie VidalDepartment of Geography, University of Cambridge; Cambridge, CB2 3EN, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0002-9606-4513
Christian WolffLancaster Environment Centre, Lancaster University; Lancaster, LA1 4YQ, United Kingdom.
Dirk VerschurenLimnology Unit, Department of Biology, Ghent University; Gent, B-9000, Belgium.ORCID 0000-0002-9116-5446

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The "super-eruption" of Mt. Toba in Indonesia ∼74,000 years ago, probably the largest volcanic event witnessed by humanity, has stimulated decades of research into the eruption's impacts on global climate and ancient human ecology. Progress has been hampered by lack of geological proxy records covering the critical time window with sufficient resolution to discern the environmental impacts directly due to the eruption. Here, we present sub-annually resolved proxy data from eastern tropical Africa which constrain the timing of the Toba eruption to Northern Hemisphere winter and suggest that it triggered modest cooling and acute drought lasting less than two years. This short-lived climate perturbation was superimposed on a multi-decadal cooling/drying trend coeval with a phase of northern high-latitude cooling characterizing the world's transition into the last glacial period. Our findings indicate that climatic impacts of the Toba eruption in eastern Africa were modest compared with other natural climate dynamics, henceforth allowing improved parameterization of earth-system models assessing its environmental impact.

Identifiers

PMID42536720
PMCPMC13440512

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.