Evidence map›Paper›PMID 42532987›Full record

ArticleNature communications2026

Uranium in cobalt-hydroxide exports from the Democratic Republic of the Congo.

Ryan A Manzuk, Sébastien Philippe

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature communications, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
0citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

0 citing papers in PubMed.

No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

2 authors.

Ryan A ManzukProgram on Science and Global Security, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ, USA. rmanzuk@princeton.edu.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-3073-9493
Sébastien PhilippeDepartment of Nuclear Engineering and Engineering Physics, University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, WI, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-7282-7520

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC)'s Copperbelt is the world's leading source of cobalt, a metal essential to the energy transition. In this region, uranium co-occurs with oxidized cobalt ores. Despite no officially reported uranium production, we show that uranium is extracted, concentrated, and exported via the DRC cobalt supply chain. This conclusion follows from co-mineralization, similar behavior of cobalt and uranium in hydrometallurgical circuits, and the partitioning of uranium into crude cobalt hydroxide, the export form for over 95% of DRC production. We combine a first-order carryover model with geological mapping, mineralization and geochemical data, as well as mine-level trade records (2000-2024) to quantify these flows. We estimate 2,000-5,000 tonnes of natural uranium were exported embedded in cobalt-hydroxide shipments. Less than 10% of this material has been publicly declared and placed under international safeguards. In addition, 1,000-4,000 tonnes were likely discarded to tailings in easily-mobilized forms, posing environmental and health risks. Together, these findings identify a substantial gap in nuclear accountancy and environmental oversight within a critical mineral supply chain.

Identifiers

PMID42532987
PMCPMC13424566

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.