ArticlemedRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences2026
Minimal Residual Disease via circulating tumor DNA Predicts Exceptional Response in HER2-Positive Metastatic Breast Cancer.
Article in medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.
What it found
Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.
The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
0 citing papers in PubMed.
No citing paper in PubMed yet.
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
25 authors.
Funding
Abstract
Purpose: Exceptional responses are frequent in patients with HER2-positive (HER2+) metastatic breast cancer (MBC), but predictive biomarkers are lacking. We aimed to investigate the association between detection of minimal residual disease (MRD) via circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) and exceptional response to first-line HER2 targeted therapy for MBC. Patients and Methods: We identified exceptional (real-world progression-free survival [rwPFS] ≥3 years) and conventional (rwPFS <3 years) responders treated with first-line HER2 targeted therapy for HER2+ MBC and plasma collected at landmark timepoints (e.g., baseline, year [Y] 1, Y2, Y3, at progression). We generated personalized, tissue-informed MRD assays using MAESTRO mutation enrichment sequencing in a pooled format. The primary endpoint was the association between MRD status at Y1 and rwPFS. Results: Of 70 patients, 63 (90%) (40 exceptional and 23 conventional responders) had sufficient samples and successful assay design; MAESTRO was run on 149 samples. A median of 1,823 (range 387-5,000) tumor-specific mutations were tracked per patient. MRD was detected in 49 (32%) samples (median tumor fraction [TFx] 936 ppm; range 3.8-164,068 ppm); 15 (31%) samples had TFx <100 ppm. MRD was associated with outcomes: 0/27 [0%] exceptional versus 9/12 [75%] conventional responders (p<0.001) had detectable MRD at Y1. Exceptional responders who remained progression-free were always MRD-negative (n=30) or cleared MRD by Y1 (n=3). Six exceptional responders experienced late progression, and four of them had a Y3 sample: MRD was detected in three patients (lead time range 2.77-13.47 years), one patient had breast-only progression and was MRD-negative. Conclusions: MRD status at key timepoints is associated with exceptional response and late distant progression, supporting prospective clinical trials implementing MRD testing with highly sensitive tumor-informed assays to guide treatment de-escalation.
Identifiers
What OpenQuestion holds
Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.