Evidence map›Paper›PMID 42527591›Full record

ArticleNature2026

The past and future impact of climate change on childhood malaria in Africa.

Colin J Carlson, Tamma Carleton, Romaric C Odoulami, Cullen D Molitor, Christopher H Trisos

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 13 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
13citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

13 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Review
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Climate warming is expanding dengue burden in the Americas and Asia.medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences · 2025
    Article
  8. Pathogens and planetary change.Nature reviews. Biodiversity · 2025
    Article
  9. Towards a 'people and nature' paradigm for biodiversity and infectious disease.Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences · 2025
    Review
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Colin J Carlson *Department of Epidemiology of Microbial Diseases, Yale University School of Public Health, New Haven, CT, USA. colin.carlson@yale.edu.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-6960-8434
Tamma Carleton *Department of Agricultural and Resource Economics, University of California, Berkeley, Berkeley, CA, USA. tcarleton@berkeley.edu.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-5518-0550
Romaric C OdoulamiAfrican Climate and Development Initiative, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-8228-1608
Cullen D MolitorCenter for Effective Global Action, University of California, Berkeley, Berkeley, CA, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-8309-8821
Christopher H TrisosAfrican Climate and Development Initiative, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Despite recent advances in climate change attribution, many health impacts remain unmeasured

Indexed as

Climate ChangeMalariaAfricaAfrica, CentralAfrica, EasternAfrica, WesternChildGlobal WarmingGreenhouse EffectHistory, 20th CenturyHistory, 21st CenturyHumansPrevalenceRainTemperature

Identifiers

PMID42527591
PMCPMC13558053

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.