Evidence map›Paper›PMID 42527480›Full record

Articlenpj health systems2025

Implementing a prediction driven framework for emergency department nurse staffing to optimize real time decisions.

Yue Hu, Carri W Chan, Jing Dong, Alice Kazekjian, Chayapol Ophaswongse, Gregory Sugalski, Joseph P Underwood, Rimma Perotte

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in npj health systems, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 4 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
4citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

4 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Yue HuOperations, Information & Technology, Stanford Graduate School of Business, Stanford, CA, USA. yuehu@stanford.edu.
Carri W ChanDecision, Risk, and Operations Division, Columbia Business School, New York, NY, USA.
Jing DongDecision, Risk, and Operations Division, Columbia Business School, New York, NY, USA.
Alice KazekjianDepartment of Emergency Medicine, Hackensack University Medical Center, Hackensack, NJ, USA.
Chayapol OphaswongseDepartment of Emergency Medicine, Hackensack University Medical Center, Hackensack, NJ, USA.
Gregory SugalskiDepartment of Emergency Medicine, Hackensack University Medical Center, Hackensack, NJ, USA.
Joseph P UnderwoodDepartment of Emergency Medicine, Hackensack University Medical Center, Hackensack, NJ, USA.
Rimma PerotteDepartment of Emergency Medicine, Hackensack University Medical Center, Hackensack, NJ, USA.

Funding

National Science Foundation 1944209
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

This study implemented and evaluated a prediction-driven nurse staffing framework in a large adult emergency department. The framework leveraged a two-stage prediction model that forecasted patient volume and guided staffing decisions. Using a pre-post study design, we compared patient throughput (measured by door-to-evaluation time, active treatment time, boarding time, length of stay, and left-without-being-seen rate) and cost outcomes (measured as hourly nurse staffing costs) before and after implementation. The model achieved an RMSE of 11.261 and MAPE of 13.414% at the base stage, and an RMSE of 9.973 and MAPE of 12.126% at the surge stage. The framework reduced hourly staffing costs by $162.04 without negatively affecting throughput. Reducing one nurse per hour from the recommended level increased wait times by two minutes, with an additional 2.3-min increase when staffing dropped below 20% of recommendations. These findings highlight the potential of prediction-driven staffing to reduce costs while maintaining patient throughput.

Identifiers

PMID42527480
PMCPMC13354205

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.