Evidence map›Paper›PMID 42521864›Full record

ArticleNature food2026

Adaptive policies balancing trade, productivity and cropland increases can support Zambia's nutrition security under future climate shocks.

Stewart Jennings, Andrew Challinor, Jennie I Macdiarmid, Richard King, Edward Pope, Stephen Whitfield, Rebecca Sarku, Christian Chomba, Masiye Nawiko, Shiluva Chauke Nkanyani and 16 more

Abstract read
PubMed Full text at PMC Publisher
In one paragraph

Article in Nature food, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
0citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

0 citing papers in PubMed.

No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

26 authors.

Stewart JenningsInstitute for Climate and Atmospheric Science, School of Earth, Environment and Sustainability, University of Leeds, Leeds, UK. s.a.jennings@leeds.ac.uk.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-1267-8623
Andrew ChallinorInstitute for Climate and Atmospheric Science, School of Earth, Environment and Sustainability, University of Leeds, Leeds, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-8551-6617
Jennie I MacdiarmidThe Rowett Institute, School of Medicine, Medical Sciences and Nutrition, University of Aberdeen, Aberdeen, UK.
Richard KingChatham House, The Royal Institute of International Affairs, London, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-6404-8052
Edward PopeHadley Centre, Met Office, Exeter, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-8295-2667
Stephen WhitfieldSustainability Research Institute, School of Earth, Environment and Sustainability, University of Leeds, Leeds, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-3040-778X
Rebecca SarkuSustainability Research Institute, School of Earth, Environment and Sustainability, University of Leeds, Leeds, UK.
Christian ChombaAgricultural Consultative Forum, Lusaka, Zambia.
Masiye NawikoAgricultural Consultative Forum, Lusaka, Zambia.
Shiluva Chauke NkanyaniThe Food Agriculture and Natural Resources Policy Analysis Network, Pretoria, South Africa.
Graham HorganBiomathematics and Statistics Scotland, Aberdeen, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-6048-1374
Jon HellinInternational Rice Research Institute, Manila, Philippines.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-2686-8065
Mary Ng'endoInternational Rice Research Institute, Nairobi, Kenya.
Eleanor FisherThe Nordic Africa Institute, Uppsala, Sweden.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-6042-6706
Liangzhi YouInternational Food Policy Research Institute, Washington, DC, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-7930-8814
Anne TimuInternational Food Policy Research Institute, Washington, DC, USA.
Grazia PacilloInternational Center for Tropical Agriculture, Cairo, Egypt.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-1012-3464
Giulia CaroliInternational Center for Tropical Agriculture, Pretoria, South Africa.
Anna BelliFood and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations, Rome, Italy.
Pedro Anglaze ChilambeInternational Center for Tropical Agriculture, Nairobi, Kenya.
Evan GirvetzInternational Center for Tropical Agriculture, Nairobi, Kenya.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-1062-9764
Sabrina RoseBioversity International, Rome, Italy.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-5385-6828
Giriraj AmarnathInternational Water Management Institute, Colombo, Sri Lanka.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-7390-9800
Alan Kennedy-AsserSchool of Geographical Sciences, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-5143-8932
Richard RigbyCentre for Environmental Modelling and Computation, School of Earth, Environment and Sustainability, University of Leeds, Leeds, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-9554-6054
Ana Maria LoboguerreroBioversity International, Rome, Italy.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Policies in sub-Saharan Africa are constrained by a limited knowledge of climate change extremes and a focus on agricultural production rather than nutrition supply. Here we model the impacts of future extremes on national-level calorie and nutrient supply in Zambia for production and nutrition focused policy scenarios. We identify the specific cropland, yield and import increases required to achieve climate-resilient nutrition security and highlight policy options.

Indexed as

AgricultureClimate ChangeCrops, AgriculturalFood SecurityFood SupplyHumansZambia

Identifiers

PMID42521864
PMCPMC13489942

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.