Evidence map›Paper›PMID 42517218›Full record

ArticleCirculation2026

Risk-Guided Screening for Atrial Fibrillation Using Electronic Health Records.

Ramesh Nadarajah, Jianhua Wu, Ali Wahab, Catherine Reynolds, Mohammad Haris, Tobin Joseph, Keerthenan Raveendra, Ben Hurdus, Khalid Kazi, Sheena Bennett and 33 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Circulation, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Association of the EHRA/HRS/APHRS/LHRS definition of atrial cardiomyopathy with incident atrial fibrillation, heart failure, and stroke.Europace : European pacing, arrhythmias, and cardiac electrophysiology : journal of the working groups on cardiac pacing, arrhythmias, and cardiac cellular electrophysiology of the European Society of Cardiology · 2026
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

43 authors.

Ramesh Nadarajah *Leeds Institute of Data Analytics (R.N., A.W., C.R., M.H., T.J., K.R., B.H., K. Kazi, S.B., C.H., C.P.G.), University of Leeds, Leeds, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0001-9895-9356
Jianhua Wu *Wolfson Institute of Population Health, Queen Mary, University of London, London, United Kingdom (J.W., C.G.).
Ali WahabLeeds Institute of Data Analytics (R.N., A.W., C.R., M.H., T.J., K.R., B.H., K. Kazi, S.B., C.H., C.P.G.), University of Leeds, Leeds, United Kingdom.
Catherine ReynoldsLeeds Institute of Data Analytics (R.N., A.W., C.R., M.H., T.J., K.R., B.H., K. Kazi, S.B., C.H., C.P.G.), University of Leeds, Leeds, United Kingdom.
Mohammad HarisLeeds Institute of Data Analytics (R.N., A.W., C.R., M.H., T.J., K.R., B.H., K. Kazi, S.B., C.H., C.P.G.), University of Leeds, Leeds, United Kingdom.ORCID 0009-0007-3859-7809
Tobin JosephLeeds Institute of Data Analytics (R.N., A.W., C.R., M.H., T.J., K.R., B.H., K. Kazi, S.B., C.H., C.P.G.), University of Leeds, Leeds, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0002-9283-9895
Keerthenan RaveendraLeeds Institute of Data Analytics (R.N., A.W., C.R., M.H., T.J., K.R., B.H., K. Kazi, S.B., C.H., C.P.G.), University of Leeds, Leeds, United Kingdom.
Ben HurdusLeeds Institute of Data Analytics (R.N., A.W., C.R., M.H., T.J., K.R., B.H., K. Kazi, S.B., C.H., C.P.G.), University of Leeds, Leeds, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0001-8149-3449
Khalid KaziLeeds Institute of Data Analytics (R.N., A.W., C.R., M.H., T.J., K.R., B.H., K. Kazi, S.B., C.H., C.P.G.), University of Leeds, Leeds, United Kingdom.
Sheena BennettLeeds Institute of Data Analytics (R.N., A.W., C.R., M.H., T.J., K.R., B.H., K. Kazi, S.B., C.H., C.P.G.), University of Leeds, Leeds, United Kingdom.
Chris HaywardLeeds Institute of Data Analytics (R.N., A.W., C.R., M.H., T.J., K.R., B.H., K. Kazi, S.B., C.H., C.P.G.), University of Leeds, Leeds, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0001-5563-8296
Ben MercerDepartment of Cardiology, Leeds Teaching Hospitals NHS Trust, Leeds, United Kingdom (R.N., B.M., C.P.G.).ORCID 0009-0003-6353-2725
Jing KangOral Clinical Research Unit, Faculty of Dentistry Oral Craniofacial Sciences, King's College London, London, United Kingdom (J.K.).ORCID 0000-0002-2770-1099
Chenyi GaoWolfson Institute of Population Health, Queen Mary, University of London, London, United Kingdom (J.W., C.G.).ORCID 0000-0003-1163-2751
Yoko M NakaoDepartment of Pharmacoepidemiology, University of Kyoto, Kyoto, Japan (Y.M.N., K. Kawakami).ORCID 0000-0002-3627-5626
Koji KawakamiDepartment of Pharmacoepidemiology, University of Kyoto, Kyoto, Japan (Y.M.N., K. Kawakami).
Carlin ChangDepartments of Medicine (C.C.), University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR, China.
Abraham WaiEmergency Medicine (A.W.), University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR, China.ORCID 0000-0001-9984-8156
Jiandong ZhouFamily Medicine and Primary Care (J.Z.), University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR, China.ORCID 0000-0003-3780-9033
Gary TseDepartment of Cardiology, Tianjin Institute of Cardiology, Second Hospital of Tianjin Medical University, Tianjin, China (G.T.).ORCID 0000-0001-5510-1253
Talish Razi BenitaCommunity Medical Services Division, Clalit Healthcare Services, Tel Aviv, Israel (T.R.B., R.A., M.H., D.Z.).ORCID 0009-0006-2172-1044
Lior RokachDepartment of Information Systems and Software Engineering, Ben Gurion University of the Negev, Beer-Sheva, Israel (T.R.B., L.R.).ORCID 0000-0002-6956-3341
Ronen ArbelCommunity Medical Services Division, Clalit Healthcare Services, Tel Aviv, Israel (T.R.B., R.A., M.H., D.Z.).ORCID 0000-0002-6058-8665
Moti HaimCommunity Medical Services Division, Clalit Healthcare Services, Tel Aviv, Israel (T.R.B., R.A., M.H., D.Z.).
Doron ZahgerCommunity Medical Services Division, Clalit Healthcare Services, Tel Aviv, Israel (T.R.B., R.A., M.H., D.Z.).ORCID 0000-0001-7503-2304
Dina LabibDepartment of Cardiac Sciences and Libin Cardiovascular Institute, Cumming School of Medicine, University of Calgary, Calgary, AB, Canada (D.L., J.F., J.A.W.).ORCID 0000-0001-7108-8554
Jacqueline FlewittDepartment of Cardiac Sciences and Libin Cardiovascular Institute, Cumming School of Medicine, University of Calgary, Calgary, AB, Canada (D.L., J.F., J.A.W.).ORCID 0000-0001-7985-9907
James A WhiteDepartment of Cardiac Sciences and Libin Cardiovascular Institute, Cumming School of Medicine, University of Calgary, Calgary, AB, Canada (D.L., J.F., J.A.W.).ORCID 0000-0002-5297-4507
Konsta TeppoHeart Center (K.T., K.E.J.A.), Turku University Hospital and University of Turku, Turku, Finland.ORCID 0000-0002-4460-0994
Mika LehtoJorvi Hospital, Department of Internal Medicine (M. Lehto), HUS Helsinki University Hospital and University of Helsinki, Helsinki, Finland.ORCID 0000-0002-8691-5142
Ville LangénDivision of Medicine (V.L.), Turku University Hospital and University of Turku, Turku, Finland.ORCID 0000-0002-2382-7962
Aleksi K WinsténDepartment of Mathematics and Statistics, University of Turku, Turku, Finland (A.K.W.).ORCID 0009-0009-4152-4795
K E Juhani AiraksinenHeart Center (K.T., K.E.J.A.), Turku University Hospital and University of Turku, Turku, Finland.ORCID 0000-0002-0193-568X
Jari HaukkaDepartment of Public Health, University of Helsinki, Helsinki, Finland (J. Haukka).ORCID 0000-0003-1450-6208
Olli HalminenDepartments of Health and Social Management (O.H.), University of Eastern Finland, Finland.ORCID 0000-0001-9266-8435
Jukka PutaalaDepartment of Neurology (J.P.), HUS Helsinki University Hospital and University of Helsinki, Helsinki, Finland.ORCID 0000-0002-6630-6104
Juha HartikainenHeart Center, Kuopio University Hospital and University of Eastern Finland (J. Hartikainen).ORCID 0000-0003-0847-107X
Miika LinnaHealth and Social Management (M. Linna), University of Eastern Finland, Finland.ORCID 0000-0003-2237-6933
Ben FreedmanHeart Research Institute, Sydney Medical School, Charles Perkins Center, and Cardiology Department, The University of Sydney, Sydney, NSW, Australia (B.F.).ORCID 0000-0002-3809-2911
Emma SvennbergKarolinska Institutet, Department of Medicine, Karolinska University Hospital, Stockholm, Sweden (E.S.).ORCID 0000-0002-6413-0870
A John CammMolecular and Clinical Sciences Research Institute, City St George's University of London, London, United Kingdom (A.J.C.).ORCID 0000-0002-2536-2871
Gregory Y H LipInstitute of Life Course and Medical Sciences, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, United Kingdom (G.Y.H.L.).ORCID 0000-0002-7566-1626
Chris P GaleLeeds Institute of Data Analytics (R.N., A.W., C.R., M.H., T.J., K.R., B.H., K. Kazi, S.B., C.H., C.P.G.), University of Leeds, Leeds, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0003-4732-382X

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundScreening for atrial fibrillation (AF) on the basis of AF risk may be more effective. We aimed to develop, externally validate, and prospectively test a machine learning prediction model using electronic health records (EHRs) to guide AF screening.

methodsWe developed and validated a random forest prediction model for new AF within 6 months, using age, sex, and 10 comorbidities (Future Innovations in Novel Detection of Atrial Fibrillation [FIND-AF] 2.0) in EHRs in the United Kingdom (n=2 081 139), Japan (n=7 795 244), Israel (n=2 166 795), Canada (n=627 919), and China (n=149 145). We conducted a prospective study where participants ≥30 years old without AF and with a CHA

resultsFIND-AF 2.0 was applicable to all EHRs and showed good to excellent prediction performance (United Kingdom: area under the receiver operating characteristic curve [AUROC], 0.819 [95% CI, 0.809-0.829]; Israel: AUROC, 0.835 [95% CI, 0.828-0.842]; Japan: AUROC, 0.751 [95% CI, 0.745-0.757]; Canada: AUROC, 0.747 [95% CI, 0.741-0.753]; China: AUROC, 0.753 [95% CI, 0.725-0.771]), with AUROC>0.7 in men and women in all cohorts, and improved performance compared with CHA

conclusionsThe EHR-based machine learning model, FIND-AF 2.0, identifies a high-risk subpopulation for AF diagnosis among patients at elevated risk of stroke and could enable scalable, EHR-driven, risk-guided AF screening.

Indexed as

Atrial FibrillationElectronic Health RecordsMass ScreeningAgedCanadaChinaElectrocardiographyFemaleHumansIsraelJapanMachine LearningMaleMiddle AgedPredictive Learning ModelsPredictive Value of Testsatrial fibrillationelectronic health recordspublic healthscreening

Identifiers

PMID42517218
PMCPMC13506190

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