ArticleJHLT open2026
Machine learning analysis identifies key predictors of baseline lung allograft dysfunction and increased mortality in lung transplant patients.
Article in JHLT open, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.
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Abstract
Background: Baseline lung allograft dysfunction (BLAD) is a phenotype of early graft dysfunction associated with impaired survival after lung transplantation. Although prior work links BLAD with several pre- and post-transplant factors, a robust set of donor and recipient predictors remains unclear. Research Question: What are important donor and recipient predictors of BLAD? Methods: We retrospectively reviewed 124 adults who underwent bilateral lung transplantation at a single center. Donor and recipient variables were evaluated using machine learning (gradient boosting and classification tree models), with high-importance predictors incorporated into logistic regression. Survival was assessed using Kaplan-Meier and Cox proportional hazards models. Results: BLAD occurred in 58 of 124 patients (46.7%). Our analysis identified 7 key factors associated with BLAD: Increased cold ischemia time ( Conclusions: BLAD is common after bilateral lung transplantation. Moderate to severe BLAD is associated with worse survival. Machine learning identified biological variables associated with BLAD and modifiable peri-operative variables, highlighting opportunities for pre-transplant and intra-operative optimization.
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