ArticleEcology and evolution2026
Assessing Whether Habitat Suitability Models Can Predict Abundance of an Insect Pest.
Article in Ecology and evolution, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.
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Abstract
Predicting pest abundance across landscapes is a major challenge in pest management. Habitat suitability models offer one approach to produce spatially explicit forecasts of pest abundance, but they can often fail to effectively capture heteroscedastic pest distributions. While pests are unlikely to occur in poor habitats, a gradient between low and high pest abundance can occur in suitable habitats, and it is unknown which types of habitat suitability models are most effective in dealing with such wedge-shaped relationships between abundance and habitat suitability. Here we used six habitat suitability models to assess whether they could predict the abundance of a major native pest of blueberries, the blueberry maggot (
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