Evidence map›Paper›PMID 42493423›Full record

SynthesisJournal of oral pathology & medicine : official publication of the International Association of Oral Pathologists and the American Academy of Oral Pathology2026

Predicting Malignant Transformation in Oral Epithelial Dysplasia: A Systematic Comparison of Artificial Intelligence-Based Risk Models and Pathologist-Based Microscopy.

Diele Carine Barreto Arantes, Lucas Monteiro Delgado, Marília de Marco Pinto Paiva Dos Santos, Saman Warnakulasuriya, Marcelo Sperandio

Abstract readSystematic ReviewComparative StudyMeta-Analysis
In one paragraph

Synthesis in Journal of oral pathology & medicine : official publication of the International Association of Oral Pathologists and the American Academy of Oral Pathology, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
0citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

0 citing papers in PubMed.

No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Diele Carine Barreto ArantesOral Medicine and Pathology, Faculdade São Leopoldo Mandic, Research Institute, Rua Dr. José Rocha Junqueira, Campinas, São Paulo, Brazil.
Lucas Monteiro DelgadoFaculty of Medicine, Federal University of Minas Gerais, Belo Horizonte, Minas Gerais, Brazil.ORCID https://orcid.org/0009-0001-7687-3073
Marília de Marco Pinto Paiva Dos SantosOral Medicine and Pathology, Faculdade São Leopoldo Mandic, Research Institute, Rua Dr. José Rocha Junqueira, Campinas, São Paulo, Brazil.
Saman WarnakulasuriyaWHO Collaborating Centre for Oral Cancer and Faculty of Dentistry, Oral and Craniofacial Sciences, King's College London, London, UK.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2103-0746
Marcelo SperandioOral Medicine and Pathology, Faculdade São Leopoldo Mandic, Research Institute, Rua Dr. José Rocha Junqueira, Campinas, São Paulo, Brazil.

Funding

São Paulo Research Foundation (FAPESP) 2025/08148-4
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

BACKGROUND/

aimsRisk prediction models (RPMs) based on histopathological analysis of oral epithelial dysplasia (OED) are increasingly used to stratify patients with oral potentially malignant disorders (OPMDs) and support personalized management. This systematic review and meta-analysis evaluated artificial intelligence (AI)-based models compared with conventional human microscopy for predicting malignant transformation (MT).

methodsA total of 32 studies published between 1998 and 2026 were included (9 AI-based and 23 human-based), focusing on OED in oral leukoplakia (OL), erythroleukoplakia, and erythroplakia. AI approaches addressed prediction or prognostic tasks using machine learning (ML), deep learning (DL), or hybrid methods, with multilayer perceptron and random forest among the most frequently used algorithms.

resultsMeta-analysis demonstrated strong discriminative performance for AI models (pooled odds ratio [OR] = 12.64; 95% CI: 5.65-28.26; I

conclusionsOverall, AI-based RPMs demonstrate promising and more reliable discriminative ability, primarily by improving decision precision rather than detection rates. However, further standardization, external validation, and larger multicentric datasets are required for clinical implementation.

Indexed as

Artificial IntelligenceCell Transformation, NeoplasticLeukoplakia, OralMicroscopyMouth NeoplasmsPrecancerous ConditionsAlgorithmsDeep LearningErythroplasiaHumansMachine LearningPrediction AlgorithmsPredictive Learning ModelsRandom ForestRisk AssessmentSoft Computingartificial intelligencemalignant transformationoral epithelial dysplasiaoral leukoplakiarisk prediction models

Identifiers

PMID42493423
PMCPMC13635274

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.