Evidence map›Paper›PMID 42490458›Full record

ArticleScience advances2026

Westerly induced precipitation increase drives near-surface ground ice gain on the Tibetan Plateau despite warming.

Yi Zhao, Dongfeng Li, Jan Nitzbon, Zhuotong Nan, Yuqi Song, Xie Hu, Youhua Ran, Shang Tian, Rui Deng, Yingzhong Luo and 1 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Science advances, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
0citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

0 citing papers in PubMed.

No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors.

Yi ZhaoKey Laboratory for Water and Sediment Sciences, Ministry of Education, College of Environmental Sciences and Engineering, Peking University, Beijing 100871, China.ORCID 0000-0001-7371-4061
Dongfeng LiKey Laboratory for Water and Sediment Sciences, Ministry of Education, College of Environmental Sciences and Engineering, Peking University, Beijing 100871, China.ORCID 0000-0003-0119-5797
Jan NitzbonPermafrost Research Section, Alfred Wegener Institute Helmholtz Center for Polar and Marine Research, Telegrafenberg, Potsdam 14473, Germany.ORCID 0000-0001-7205-6298
Zhuotong NanState Key Laboratory of Climate System Prediction and Risk Management, Nanjing Normal University, Nanjing 210023, China.ORCID 0000-0002-7930-3850
Yuqi SongCollege of Urban and Environmental Sciences, State Key Laboratory of Vegetation Structure, Function and Construction (VegLab), and Key Laboratory for Earth Surface Processes of the Ministry of Education, Peking University, Beijing 100871, China.ORCID 0000-0003-4940-0657
Xie HuCollege of Urban and Environmental Sciences, State Key Laboratory of Vegetation Structure, Function and Construction (VegLab), and Key Laboratory for Earth Surface Processes of the Ministry of Education, Peking University, Beijing 100871, China.ORCID 0000-0002-6744-7291
Youhua RanNational Cryosphere Desert Data Center, State Key Laboratory of Cryospheric Science and Frozen Soil Engineering, Northwest Institute of Eco-Environment and Resources, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Lanzhou 730000, China.ORCID 0000-0001-7774-4612
Shang TianKey Laboratory for Water and Sediment Sciences, Ministry of Education, College of Environmental Sciences and Engineering, Peking University, Beijing 100871, China.ORCID 0009-0006-9663-4447
Rui DengKey Laboratory for Water and Sediment Sciences, Ministry of Education, College of Environmental Sciences and Engineering, Peking University, Beijing 100871, China.ORCID 0009-0005-5280-4582
Yingzhong LuoKey Laboratory for Water and Sediment Sciences, Ministry of Education, College of Environmental Sciences and Engineering, Peking University, Beijing 100871, China.
Yiyi LiKey Laboratory for Water and Sediment Sciences, Ministry of Education, College of Environmental Sciences and Engineering, Peking University, Beijing 100871, China.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Near-surface ground ice loss is a key sign of permafrost degradation under global warming, dictating ground destabilization and carbon feedback. However, recent field evidence suggests that ground ice may locally accumulate, while the driving mechanisms remain unclear. Leveraging borehole ground ice observations, a physics-based permafrost model, and satellite-based ground deformation data, we identify an anomalous ice increase at the active layer bottom despite climate warming across the interior Tibetan Plateau, occupying 35% of plateau's permafrost area. Strengthened westerlies have enhanced precipitation, supplying additional soil moisture that refreezes at the active layer bottom and drives this unexpected ice gain. Freeze-thaw process associated with the accumulated ice amplifies ground deformation, destabilizing permafrost landscapes and threatening socioeconomic activities. This anomalous ice gain in permafrost regions, together with the Karakoram anomalous glacier mass increase, represents a divergent cryospheric ice gain against global ice loss under climate warming, highlighting that rapid precipitation increase may locally outweigh temperature in driving cryosphere evolution on the Tibetan Plateau.

Identifiers

PMID42490458
PMCPMC13394540

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.