Evidence map›Paper›PMID 42485714›Full record

ArticleJACC. Advances2026

AI-ECG Risk Stratification for Atrial Fibrillation: Real-World Performance and Explainability.

Kouki Matsuo, Yoshihiro Sobue, Taiji Miyake, Kazuya Takeda, Eiichi Watanabe, Hitoshi Matsuo, Hideo Izawa

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Article in JACC. Advances, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

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1 · What the graph read from it

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4 · The record

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5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Kouki MatsuoDepartment of Cardiology, Fujita Health University Bantane Hospital, Nagoya, Japan.
Yoshihiro SobueDepartment of Cardiology, Fujita Health University Bantane Hospital, Nagoya, Japan. Electronic address: sobue@fujita-hu.ac.jp.
Taiji MiyakeDepartment of Cardiovascular Medicine, Gifu Heart Center, Gifu, Japan.
Kazuya TakedaGraduate School of Health Sciences, Fujita Health University Graduate School, Toyoake, Japan.
Eiichi WatanabeDepartment of Cardiology, Fujita Health University Bantane Hospital, Nagoya, Japan.
Hitoshi MatsuoDepartment of Cardiovascular Medicine, Gifu Heart Center, Gifu, Japan.
Hideo IzawaDepartment of Cardiology, Fujita Health University, Toyoake, Japan.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundArtificial intelligence-enabled electrocardiography (AI-ECG) has emerged as a potential method for identifying atrial fibrillation (AF) from sinus rhythm. However, its clinical utility and interpretability in routine practice remain uncertain.

objectivesThe objective of the study was to assess the performance and explainability of an AI-integrated ECG system for AF risk stratification in a multicenter real-world cohort.

methodsWe enrolled 665 patients aged ≥40 years who underwent 12-lead ECGs using an AI-enabled electrocardiograph (FCP-9900). The device automatically assigned AF risk into 4 categories (low, mid-low, mid-high, and high). Machine-learning models-support vector machine, adaptive boosting, and artificial neural networks-were developed using clinical and ECG-derived variables. Internal validation used stratified 10-fold cross-validation, and external validation used an independent cohort. Feature contributions were assessed with SHapley Additive exPlanations.

resultsAF prevalence increased across AI-ECG risk categories, with significantly higher odds in the mid-high and high groups vs low. Model 2, which incorporated CHADS

conclusionsAI-ECG provides rapid, low-cost AF risk estimation from a single sinus rhythm ECG; however, its predictive performance is modest compared with clinical scores. At present, AI-ECG may complement, but not replace, traditional risk stratification.

Indexed as

artificial intelligenceatrial fibrillationelectrocardiographyexternal validationmachine learningrisk stratification

Identifiers

PMID42485714
PMCPMC13425855

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